Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Trump launch a coin by ___?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 7.0% in Will Trump launch a coin by ___? — $99.7K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
December 31, 2026
7%
A 7.0% price implies roughly a 7-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +1.5 pts30D +1.0 pts
Bid
5¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
4¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since February 03, 2026: 4.5% – 52.0% · Opened at 25.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Trump launch a coin by ___?
Category
Crypto, Trump, Pre-Market, token launch
Scheduled end
January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET
Total volume
$99.7K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$1.9K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
December 31, 2026 — 7.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 7.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.5 pts; past month: +1.0 pts.

Since February 03, 2026, December 31, 2026 has traded between 4.5% and 52.0%. It opened at 25.5% and last traded at 7.0%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 20265.5%
Oct 18, 20265.5%
Oct 19, 202610.0%
Oct 20, 20267.5%
Oct 22, 20266.5%
Oct 23, 20267.0%
Oct 24, 20267.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31, 2026 is favored at 7.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 31, 20267¢7.0%—$96.4K96.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$99.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,000 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Jovial-RoutineNo2,000$1.9K
Insidious-CoupleYes1,473$103
Embellished-DoorbellYes1,250$87
Wobbly-ChainNo947$881
Superficial-TweetYes800$56
Lazy-RationaleNo739$687
False-ExtremeNo678$631
Vivid-ModelingYes595$42
Spirited-Challenge-BasketballNo589$548
Little-StickerYes473$33

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $283 at 94.3%BUY No — $100 at 94.7%BUY No — $62 at 95.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 19, 04:37 PM ETNoSELL93.0%$58
Oct 18, 07:11 PM ETNoSELL93.0%$8
Oct 18, 07:11 PM ETNoBUY96.0%$5
Oct 17, 03:01 PM ETYesBUY7.0%$12
Oct 17, 03:01 PM ETNoBUY93.0%$51
Oct 15, 11:43 PM ETNoSELL89.0%$3
Oct 08, 04:08 PM ETNoSELL92.0%$1
Oct 08, 04:17 AM ETYesSELL7.0%$1
Oct 08, 04:15 AM ETYesSELL7.0%$1
Oct 05, 01:37 PM ETNoSELL87.9%$29

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Trump launch a coin by ___??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 7.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-launch-a-coin-by-january-31?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Trump launch a coin by ___??

$99.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Trump launch a coin by ___? end?

The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Trump launch a coin by ___?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, 2026, priced at 7.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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