Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 92.0% in Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026? — $1.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Yes
92%
A 92.0% price implies roughly a 92-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.0 pts7D −0.5 pts
Yes92.0%
No8.0%
Bid
90¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
4¢
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Range since October 08, 2026: 81.5% – 93.5% · Opened at 81.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026?
Category
Trump, Politics, Geopolitics, Philippines
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$1.6K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$17.8K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
Yes — 92.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 92.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: -0.5 pts.

Since October 08, 2026, Yes has traded between 81.5% and 93.5%. It opened at 81.5% and last traded at 92.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202693.0%
Oct 18, 202693.0%
Oct 19, 202693.5%
Oct 20, 202693.0%
Oct 22, 202692.0%
Oct 23, 202691.0%
Oct 24, 202692.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Yes is favored at 92.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Yes92¢92.0%+1.0 pts$1.6K100.0%
No8¢8.0%-1.0 pts$1.6K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 90¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$1.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr. meets with Donald Trump between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Marcos and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 181 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Ecstatic-PostboxYes181$167
Each-SummaryNo94$8
Direct-ChainstayNo66$5
Belated-GlueNo59$5
Ideal-ArchYes50$46
Lean-TrolleyYes50$46
Sniveling-ManacleYes50$46
Grim-GarageNo42$3
Flimsy-HydrolysisNo40$3
Plastic-DuckNo20$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL Yes — $124 at 88.9%BUY Yes — $109 at 90.0%BUY Yes — $52 at 86.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 07:48 AM ETYesBUY91.0%$9
Oct 21, 09:56 PM ETYesSELL91.0%$49
Oct 21, 09:55 PM ETYesSELL91.0%$18
Oct 21, 09:54 PM ETNoBUY8.1%$8
Oct 21, 09:54 PM ETNoBUY9.0%$4
Oct 19, 06:10 PM ETYesBUY94.0%$1
Oct 16, 04:35 AM ETNoSELL6.0%$1
Oct 13, 09:30 AM ETNoBUY7.0%$1
Oct 13, 09:28 AM ETYesBUY90.0%$109
Oct 13, 09:28 AM ETYesBUY94.0%$19

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 92.0%. Next is No at 8.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-meet-with-marcos-by-december-31-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026??

$1.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

Yes, priced at 92.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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