As of October 24, 2026, 08:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 90.5% in Will Trump nationalize elections? — $21.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 90.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +0.5 pts; past month: +2.0 pts.
Since February 04, 2026, No has traded between 64.5% and 96.0%. It opened at 69.5% and last traded at 90.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 90.5% |
No is favored at 90.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 90¢ | 90.5% | +0.5 pts | $21.8K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 10¢ | 9.5% | -0.5 pts | $21.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 8¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$21.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,764 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgaron | No | 1,764 | $1.6K |
| Giddy-Draft | Yes | 1,106 | $105 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 426 | $40 |
| Ondra | Yes | 409 | $39 |
| Little-Gold | Yes | 370 | $35 |
| Affectionate-Ownership | No | 350 | $317 |
| Crafty-Cloakroom | No | 336 | $304 |
| Indelible-Try | No | 272 | $247 |
| Heartfelt-Image | Yes | 228 | $22 |
| Darling-Top | No | 224 | $203 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 02:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.7% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 02:09 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $116 |
| Oct 23, 02:09 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 02:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 02:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $20 |
| Oct 22, 02:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.3% | $15 |
| Oct 11, 11:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $118 |
| Oct 11, 12:31 AM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $24 |
| Oct 10, 10:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $0 |
| Oct 10, 10:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $17 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 90.5%. Next is Yes at 9.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-nationalize-elections?via=bro
$21.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 90.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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