As of October 24, 2026, 09:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 91.0% in Will Trump pardon Richard Nixon by December 31? — $176 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 91.0%.
Since October 06, 2026, No has traded between 91.0% and 92.0%. It opened at 92.0% and last traded at 91.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 91.0% |
No is favored at 91.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 91¢ | 91.0% | — | $176 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 9¢ | 9.0% | — | $176 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 6¢ / ask 12¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$176 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 02:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Richard Nixon receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 132 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Meaty-Locket | No | 132 | $120 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 65 | $6 |
| Parallel-Gain | Yes | 36 | $3 |
| Gloomy-Frigate | Yes | 22 | $2 |
| Insignificant-Mystery | Yes | 9 | $1 |
| Accomplished-Granny | Yes | 7 | $1 |
| Cloudy-Comeback | No | 5 | $5 |
| Calculating-Fragrance | No | 2 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 08, 03:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $5 |
| Oct 07, 01:33 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $2 |
| Oct 06, 09:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.9% | $5 |
| Oct 06, 02:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $19 |
| Oct 06, 02:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $5 |
| Oct 06, 02:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $5 |
| Oct 06, 02:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $17 |
| Oct 06, 02:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $19 |
| Oct 06, 02:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $50 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 91.0%. Next is Yes at 9.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-richard-nixon-by-december-31?via=bro
$176 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 02:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 91.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.