As of October 24, 2026, 08:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 80.5% in Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31? — $4.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 80.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -9.0 pts; past week: -15.0 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, No has traded between 45.0% and 80.5%. It opened at 62.0% and last traded at 80.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 64.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 80.5% |
No is favored at 80.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 80¢ | 80.5% | +9.0 pts | $4.3K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 20¢ | 19.5% | -9.0 pts | $4.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 19¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 29¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.3K has been traded on this event in total, $68 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,200 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Musty-Bit | Yes | 1,200 | $234 |
| Sudden-Automaton-Chronicle | No | 400 | $322 |
| Fearless-Aggression | Yes | 377 | $74 |
| Scratchy-Loading | No | 358 | $288 |
| Sociable-Pendulum | No | 334 | $269 |
| Elegant-Cloister | No | 330 | $266 |
| Impressionable-Hovercraft | No | 200 | $161 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 190 | $37 |
| Negative-Curiosity | Yes | 100 | $20 |
| Unlucky-Anywhere-Destruction | No | 100 | $80 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:45 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.5% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $16 |
| Oct 23, 05:38 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.6% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 05:38 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $4 |
| Oct 19, 07:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.0% | $35 |
| Oct 16, 03:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $1 |
| Oct 14, 08:18 AM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $4 |
| Oct 13, 10:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 46.0% | $14 |
| Oct 13, 10:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 50.0% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 80.5%. Next is Yes at 19.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-october-31?via=bro
$4.3K in total volume, with $68 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 80.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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