Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 80.5% in Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31? — $4.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $68.
Leading outcome
No
80%
A 80.5% price implies roughly a 80-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −9.0 pts7D −15.0 pts
No80.5%
Yes19.5%
Bid
10¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
19¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 01, 2026: 45.0% – 80.5% · Opened at 62.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?
Category
Trump, Culture, Politics
Scheduled end
October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$4.3K
Volume (24h)
$68
Liquidity
$332
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 80.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 80.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -9.0 pts; past week: -15.0 pts.

Since October 01, 2026, No has traded between 45.0% and 80.5%. It opened at 62.0% and last traded at 80.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202655.5%
Oct 18, 202665.5%
Oct 19, 202664.0%
Oct 20, 202666.5%
Oct 22, 202671.0%
Oct 23, 202671.0%
Oct 24, 202680.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 80.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No80¢80.5%+9.0 pts$4.3K100.0%
Yes20¢19.5%-9.0 pts$4.3K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 19¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 29¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$4.3K has been traded on this event in total, $68 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,200 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Musty-BitYes1,200$234
Sudden-Automaton-ChronicleNo400$322
Fearless-AggressionYes377$74
Scratchy-LoadingNo358$288
Sociable-PendulumNo334$269
Elegant-CloisterNo330$266
Impressionable-HovercraftNo200$161
Belated-GlueYes190$37
Negative-CuriosityYes100$20
Unlucky-Anywhere-DestructionNo100$80

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $179 at 59.8%BUY Yes — $59 at 45.0%BUY No — $35 at 60.1%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:32 PM ETYesBUY23.0%$2
Oct 24, 03:45 PM ETYesSELL4.5%$2
Oct 24, 07:43 AM ETNoBUY80.0%$16
Oct 23, 05:38 PM ETNoBUY79.6%$11
Oct 23, 05:38 PM ETNoBUY75.0%$4
Oct 19, 07:00 PM ETYesBUY35.0%$35
Oct 16, 03:36 AM ETNoBUY80.0%$1
Oct 14, 08:18 AM ETNoBUY78.0%$4
Oct 13, 10:26 PM ETNoSELL46.0%$14
Oct 13, 10:26 PM ETNoSELL50.0%$7

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 80.5%. Next is Yes at 19.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-october-31?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31??

$4.3K in total volume, with $68 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 80.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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