Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.0% in Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? — $15.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
97%
A 97.0% price implies roughly a 97-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.4 pts7D +0.1 pts30D +0.1 pts
No97.0%
Yes2.9%
Bid
2¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since February 02, 2026: 90.0% – 98.6% · Opened at 91.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
Category
Politics, Trump
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$15.0K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$18.2K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 97.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.4 pts; past week: +0.1 pts; past month: +0.1 pts.

Since February 02, 2026, No has traded between 90.0% and 98.6%. It opened at 91.5% and last traded at 97.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202697.1%
Oct 18, 202697.4%
Oct 19, 202697.2%
Oct 20, 202697.4%
Oct 23, 202697.5%
Oct 24, 202697.0%
Oct 24, 202697.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 97.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No97¢97.0%-0.4 pts$15.0K100.0%
Yes3¢2.9%+0.4 pts$15.0K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$15.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,283 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Delayed-ResolutionYes1,283$38
Lustrous-CutletNo1,060$1.0K
Jovial-RoutineNo822$798
0xf1b65a58…Yes815$24
Mediocre-ParadiseNo785$762
Flashy-LabelNo754$732
Nutty-TradeYes554$16
Tragic-ScorpionNo500$485
Bare-GlobeYes455$13
Happy-DinosaurNo423$410

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $430 at 97.4%BUY No — $124 at 97.8%BUY No — $57 at 97.4%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 21, 09:14 PM ETYesSELL2.2%$2
Oct 12, 01:17 AM ETNoBUY97.8%$25
Oct 07, 12:59 AM ETNoBUY97.8%$124
Oct 07, 12:58 AM ETNoBUY97.7%$49
Oct 07, 12:58 AM ETNoBUY97.5%$24
Oct 06, 10:25 AM ETNoSELL97.4%$430
Oct 03, 01:37 PM ETYesSELL2.5%$1
Oct 03, 10:06 AM ETNoBUY97.4%$57
Oct 02, 03:18 PM ETNoBUY97.4%$6
Oct 01, 03:27 AM ETYesSELL2.6%$0

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.0%. Next is Yes at 2.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-repeal-presidential-term-limits-in-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026??

$15.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 97.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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