Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:45 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 3.2% in Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...? — $627.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
December 31
3%
A 3.2% price implies roughly a 3-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.1 pts7D +0.4 pts30D +0.1 pts
Bid
3¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since June 30, 2026: 0.8% – 47.5% · Opened at 47.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
Category
supreme leader, Iran, Geopolitics, Iran Regime, Trump, speak, U.S. x Iran
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$627.4K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$15.4K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
December 31 — 3.2%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 3.2%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +0.4 pts; past month: +0.1 pts.

Since June 30, 2026, December 31 has traded between 0.8% and 47.5%. It opened at 47.5% and last traded at 3.2%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 20262.8%
Oct 18, 20262.9%
Oct 19, 20262.9%
Oct 20, 20262.9%
Oct 22, 20263.2%
Oct 23, 20263.2%
Oct 24, 20263.2%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31 is favored at 3.2%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 313¢3.2%-0.1 pts$124.3K19.8%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$627.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,756 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Peppery-CapitalNo3,756$3.6K
Busy-CalendarYes3,335$107
Common-NitrogenNo1,037$1.0K
Taut-BearYes1,022$33
Chubby-PriorYes837$27
Impressive-PrincipleNo601$581
Blushing-Constellation-HumourYes537$17
Evil-RowYes384$12
Vague-SpeechNo245$238
Natural-VacationNo228$221

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $259 at 96.7%SELL No — $194 at 97.0%BUY No — $190 at 97.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 10:27 AM ETYesSELL2.6%$0
Oct 22, 10:14 AM ETNoSELL96.1%$6
Oct 20, 03:27 PM ETNoBUY98.1%$10
Oct 20, 03:27 PM ETNoBUY98.1%$19
Oct 20, 03:27 PM ETNoBUY98.1%$1
Oct 20, 03:27 PM ETNoBUY98.1%$2
Oct 20, 03:27 PM ETNoBUY97.9%$190
Oct 20, 03:27 PM ETNoBUY98.1%$2
Oct 19, 11:13 PM ETYesBUY3.6%$1
Oct 16, 01:18 PM ETYesSELL2.2%$0

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 3.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-talk-to-mojtaba-khamenei-by-march-31?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...??

$627.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, priced at 3.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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