As of October 24, 2026, 09:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 91.0% in Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026? — $853 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 91.0%.
Since September 29, 2026, No has traded between 56.5% and 94.0%. It opened at 56.5% and last traded at 91.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 91.0% |
No is favored at 91.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 91¢ | 91.0% | — | $853 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 9¢ | 9.0% | — | $853 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$853 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits a giant panda by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump being physically present in the same location as a giant panda, including any habitat, exhibit, viewing area. The panda does not need to be a specific named panda, and the location is not limited to any particular zoo or venue. Trump may be physically separated from the giant panda in any capacity, e.g. through exhibit glass, a fence, or a transport enclosure, so long as Trump is in the immediate presence of the giant panda. Being present elsewhere within the same zoo, park, or venue, without being in the immediate presence of a giant panda, will not qualify. This market will resolve "Yes" regardless of whether Trump is photographed with, interacts with, or otherwise engages the panda, as long as he is physically present with a giant panda during the specified timeframe. The primary resolution source for this information will be official statements from the relevant venue, the White House, or Trump's verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS or https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 384 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Punctual-Sand | No | 384 | $349 |
| Beautiful-Limitation | Yes | 289 | $26 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 118 | $11 |
| Tangible-Exasperation-Grit | Yes | 111 | $10 |
| Great-Cultivator | No | 70 | $64 |
| Arctic-Kickoff | No | 44 | $40 |
| Silent-Obsidian | No | 26 | $24 |
| Luminous-Insectarium | Yes | 6 | $1 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | Yes | 5 | $0 |
| Sturdy-Chateau | No | 3 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 06, 06:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $10 |
| Oct 04, 07:32 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $9 |
| Oct 04, 03:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $9 |
| Oct 02, 03:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $10 |
| Oct 02, 12:19 PM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $2 |
| Oct 02, 12:19 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $2 |
| Oct 02, 12:18 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $2 |
| Oct 02, 12:18 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $2 |
| Oct 02, 12:18 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $2 |
| Oct 02, 12:18 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $18 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 91.0%. Next is Yes at 9.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-visit-any-pandas-in-2026?via=bro
$853 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 91.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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