Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 91.0% in Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026? — $853 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
91%
A 91.0% price implies roughly a 91-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
No91.0%
Yes9.0%
Bid
7¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
4¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 29, 2026: 56.5% – 94.0% · Opened at 56.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026?
Category
China, Trump, Animals, Politics
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$853
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$628
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 91.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 91.0%.

Since September 29, 2026, No has traded between 56.5% and 94.0%. It opened at 56.5% and last traded at 91.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202691.0%
Oct 17, 202691.0%
Oct 18, 202691.0%
Oct 19, 202691.0%
Oct 20, 202691.0%
Oct 22, 202691.0%
Oct 23, 202691.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 91.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No91¢91.0%—$853100.0%
Yes9¢9.0%—$853100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$853 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits a giant panda by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump being physically present in the same location as a giant panda, including any habitat, exhibit, viewing area. The panda does not need to be a specific named panda, and the location is not limited to any particular zoo or venue. Trump may be physically separated from the giant panda in any capacity, e.g. through exhibit glass, a fence, or a transport enclosure, so long as Trump is in the immediate presence of the giant panda. Being present elsewhere within the same zoo, park, or venue, without being in the immediate presence of a giant panda, will not qualify. This market will resolve "Yes" regardless of whether Trump is photographed with, interacts with, or otherwise engages the panda, as long as he is physically present with a giant panda during the specified timeframe. The primary resolution source for this information will be official statements from the relevant venue, the White House, or Trump's verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS or https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 384 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Punctual-SandNo384$349
Beautiful-LimitationYes289$26
Belated-GlueYes118$11
Tangible-Exasperation-GritYes111$10
Great-CultivatorNo70$64
Arctic-KickoffNo44$40
Silent-ObsidianNo26$24
Luminous-InsectariumYes6$1
Wordy-DoctrineYes5$0
Sturdy-ChateauNo3$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $110 at 92.0%BUY No — $95 at 95.1%BUY No — $43 at 97.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 06, 06:58 PM ETNoBUY93.0%$10
Oct 04, 07:32 PM ETNoBUY93.0%$9
Oct 04, 03:44 AM ETYesBUY9.0%$9
Oct 02, 03:22 PM ETNoBUY93.0%$10
Oct 02, 12:19 PM ETNoSELL86.0%$2
Oct 02, 12:19 PM ETNoSELL89.0%$2
Oct 02, 12:18 PM ETNoSELL89.0%$2
Oct 02, 12:18 PM ETNoSELL90.0%$2
Oct 02, 12:18 PM ETNoSELL90.0%$2
Oct 02, 12:18 PM ETNoSELL90.0%$18

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 91.0%. Next is Yes at 9.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-visit-any-pandas-in-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026??

$853 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 91.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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