As of October 24, 2026, 08:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.9% in Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026? — $3.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.1 pts; past month: -1.1 pts.
Since July 31, 2026, No has traded between 90.5% and 97.9%. It opened at 90.5% and last traded at 97.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.7% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.9% |
No is favored at 97.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 97.9% | — | $3.6K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $3.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://twitter.com/POTUS
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,100 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rash-Login-Caramel | Yes | 1,100 | $24 |
| Kosher-Curry | No | 618 | $605 |
| Elliptical-Perspective | No | 325 | $318 |
| Fantastic-Refrigerator | No | 265 | $260 |
| Loathsome-Ox | No | 195 | $191 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 195 | $4 |
| Brief-Show | No | 185 | $181 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 168 | $4 |
| Yummy-Winter | No | 148 | $144 |
| Ample-Instance | Yes | 104 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 06:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.3% | $0 |
| Oct 11, 05:37 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.4% | $1 |
| Oct 11, 05:32 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.9% | $1 |
| Oct 11, 05:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.4% | $256 |
| Oct 10, 07:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.1% | $19 |
| Oct 10, 11:51 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.9% | $0 |
| Oct 07, 12:22 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.1% | $12 |
| Sep 18, 01:44 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.8% | $2 |
| Sep 15, 05:48 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.7% | $28 |
| Sep 12, 05:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.5% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.9%. Next is Yes at 2.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-visit-gaza-in-2026-20260731223105589?via=bro
$3.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://twitter.com/POTUS.
No, priced at 97.9% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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