As of October 24, 2026, 07:46 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 8.5% in Will Trump visit Greenland by...? — $356.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 8.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: -2.5 pts.
Since April 04, 2026, December 31 has traded between 6.0% and 26.5%. It opened at 12.0% and last traded at 8.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 8.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 8.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 8.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 8.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 8.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 8.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 8.5% |
December 31 is favored at 8.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 8¢ | 8.5% | — | $76.8K | 21.5% |
| October 31 | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $42.9K | 12.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 8¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$356.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://twitter.com/POTUS
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 7,147 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Few-Prevention | Yes | 7,147 | $607 |
| Downright-Website | No | 4,782 | $4.4K |
| Scratchy-Loading | No | 4,650 | $4.3K |
| Supportive-Pita | Yes | 1,444 | $123 |
| Quizzical-Hire | Yes | 1,173 | $100 |
| Apprehensive-Thorn | Yes | 1,138 | $97 |
| Hideous-Racer | No | 1,000 | $915 |
| Quarterly-Comeback | No | 977 | $894 |
| Green-Recruit | No | 749 | $685 |
| Cautious-Deadline | Yes | 629 | $53 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 07:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $31 |
| Oct 23, 07:02 AM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $31 |
| Oct 22, 07:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.6% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 07:42 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $4 |
| Oct 21, 10:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $46 |
| Oct 21, 12:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.0% | $43 |
| Oct 18, 05:34 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $10 |
| Oct 18, 05:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $10 |
| Oct 18, 01:43 AM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $5 |
| Oct 17, 06:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $100 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 8.5%. Next is October 31 at 0.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-visit-greenland-by-march-31?via=bro
$356.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://twitter.com/POTUS.
December 31, priced at 8.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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