As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 7.5% in Will Trump visit North Korea by...? — $167.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 7.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.8 pts; past month: +0.1 pts.
Since July 01, 2026, December 31 has traded between 3.5% and 13.9%. It opened at 5.0% and last traded at 7.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 8.3% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 8.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 8.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 7.6% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 7.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 7.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 7.5% |
December 31 is favored at 7.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 8¢ | 7.5% | — | $136.0K | 81.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 8¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$167.2K has been traded on this event in total, $27 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,401 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Near-Familiar | Yes | 3,401 | $255 |
| Glossy-Cashier | No | 3,266 | $3.0K |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 584 | $44 |
| Flat-Badger | No | 508 | $470 |
| Broken-Hermit | No | 453 | $419 |
| Kindhearted-Mixer | No | 316 | $292 |
| Extra-Small-Corral-Reception | No | 214 | $198 |
| Indelible-Wedge | Yes | 200 | $15 |
| Pertinent-Shackle | Yes | 188 | $14 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 144 | $11 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.4% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 07:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 93.3% | $25 |
| Oct 20, 09:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.5% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 10:15 AM ET | No | BUY | 93.7% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 10:07 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.1% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 10:07 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.1% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 10:07 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.1% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 10:07 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.1% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 10:07 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.7% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 10:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 7.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-visit-north-korea-by-june-30?via=bro
$167.2K in total volume, with $27 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 7.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.