As of October 24, 2026, 08:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 80.5% in Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? — $18.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 80.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: -2.5 pts.
Since February 11, 2026, No has traded between 47.5% and 85.5%. It opened at 64.0% and last traded at 79.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 79.5% |
No is favored at 80.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 80¢ | 80.5% | +1.0 pts | $18.5K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 20¢ | 19.5% | -1.0 pts | $18.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 16¢ / ask 23¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$18.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,049 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gummy-Movement | Yes | 1,049 | $205 |
| Descriptive-Overshoot | Yes | 914 | $178 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle | No | 727 | $585 |
| Monstrous-Underpants | No | 523 | $421 |
| Flawless-Policeman | Yes | 493 | $96 |
| Wretched-Postage | No | 427 | $344 |
| Tough-Investigator | No | 400 | $322 |
| Wan-Fusarium | Yes | 325 | $63 |
| Weepy-Sorbet | No | 302 | $243 |
| Submissive-Belly | Yes | 241 | $47 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 10:07 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 05:34 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 16.0% | $0 |
| Oct 17, 08:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $15 |
| Oct 15, 12:49 AM ET | No | SELL | 58.4% | $47 |
| Oct 13, 11:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $50 |
| Oct 08, 09:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.6% | $100 |
| Oct 08, 01:40 PM ET | No | SELL | 59.9% | $101 |
| Oct 06, 10:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $2 |
| Oct 05, 01:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 61.5% | $1 |
| Oct 05, 01:41 PM ET | No | SELL | 77.0% | $22 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 80.5%. Next is Yes at 19.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-wear-a-yarmulke-in-2026?via=bro
$18.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 80.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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