Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.5% in Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? — $177.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
96%
A 95.5% price implies roughly a 96-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
30D −1.0 pts
No95.5%
Yes4.5%
Bid
4¢
Ask
5¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since May 25, 2026: 75.0% – 95.5% · Opened at 83.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
Category
erdogan, Turkey, Politics
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$177.0K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$19.2K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 95.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 95.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — past month: -1.0 pts.

Since May 25, 2026, No has traded between 75.0% and 95.5%. It opened at 83.5% and last traded at 95.5%.

DayClose
Oct 14, 202695.0%
Oct 15, 202695.5%
Oct 16, 202695.5%
Oct 18, 202695.5%
Oct 19, 202695.5%
Oct 20, 202695.5%
Oct 23, 202695.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 95.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No96¢95.5%—$177.0K100.0%
Yes4¢4.5%—$177.0K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 5¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$177.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Turkey officially announces early presidential elections to occur before the currently scheduled 2028 Turkish presidential election, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement requires an official public announcement by the Turkish government, the Presidency of Turkey, the Grand National Assembly of Turkey, or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK) establishing, approving, scheduling, or formally initiating a presidential election to occur before the currently scheduled 2028 election. Announcements of discussions, proposals, negotiations, speculation, or calls for early elections by politicians, parties, media, or commentators, without official action to schedule or initiate such elections, will not qualify. If early presidential elections are officially announced before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the elections are later postponed, canceled, or ultimately held. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Turkish government authorities or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 27,084 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Broken-DogwoodNo27,084$25.9K
Grateful-Microlending-PopularityYes18,278$823
Tough-StrawberryYes6,361$286
Shadowy-PlaywrightYes4,734$213
Fatherly-Panther-ProbationYes3,660$165
Surprised-IngredientNo2,653$2.5K
Grounded-DepressionNo2,500$2.4K
Dull-UniverseNo1,942$1.9K
Dead-LavaNo950$908
Weird-FreedomNo750$716

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $1.3K at 95.0%BUY No — $200 at 95.0%SELL No — $196 at 94.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 11:05 AM ETNoBUY96.0%$14
Oct 19, 01:11 AM ETNoBUY96.0%$2
Oct 19, 01:11 AM ETNoBUY96.0%$2
Oct 19, 01:11 AM ETNoBUY96.0%$2
Oct 19, 01:11 AM ETNoBUY96.0%$2
Oct 19, 01:04 AM ETNoBUY96.0%$2
Oct 19, 01:04 AM ETNoBUY96.0%$2
Oct 19, 01:04 AM ETNoBUY96.0%$2
Oct 19, 01:04 AM ETNoBUY96.0%$2
Oct 19, 12:54 AM ETNoBUY96.0%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.5%. Next is Yes at 4.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-turkey-schedule-early-presidential-elections-in-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026??

$177.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 95.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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