As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.5% in Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? — $177.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 95.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: -1.0 pts.
Since May 25, 2026, No has traded between 75.0% and 95.5%. It opened at 83.5% and last traded at 95.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.5% |
No is favored at 95.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96¢ | 95.5% | — | $177.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 4¢ | 4.5% | — | $177.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 5¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$177.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Turkey officially announces early presidential elections to occur before the currently scheduled 2028 Turkish presidential election, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement requires an official public announcement by the Turkish government, the Presidency of Turkey, the Grand National Assembly of Turkey, or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK) establishing, approving, scheduling, or formally initiating a presidential election to occur before the currently scheduled 2028 election. Announcements of discussions, proposals, negotiations, speculation, or calls for early elections by politicians, parties, media, or commentators, without official action to schedule or initiate such elections, will not qualify. If early presidential elections are officially announced before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the elections are later postponed, canceled, or ultimately held. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Turkish government authorities or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 27,084 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Broken-Dogwood | No | 27,084 | $25.9K |
| Grateful-Microlending-Popularity | Yes | 18,278 | $823 |
| Tough-Strawberry | Yes | 6,361 | $286 |
| Shadowy-Playwright | Yes | 4,734 | $213 |
| Fatherly-Panther-Probation | Yes | 3,660 | $165 |
| Surprised-Ingredient | No | 2,653 | $2.5K |
| Grounded-Depression | No | 2,500 | $2.4K |
| Dull-Universe | No | 1,942 | $1.9K |
| Dead-Lava | No | 950 | $908 |
| Weird-Freedom | No | 750 | $716 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 11:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $14 |
| Oct 19, 01:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 01:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 01:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 01:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 01:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 01:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 01:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 01:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 12:54 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.5%. Next is Yes at 4.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-turkey-schedule-early-presidential-elections-in-2026?via=bro
$177.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 95.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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