As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 94.5% in Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? — $102.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 94.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.9 pts; past week: +0.6 pts; past month: +1.5 pts.
Since April 28, 2026, No has traded between 68.0% and 96.5%. It opened at 79.5% and last traded at 95.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 95.1% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.0% |
No is favored at 94.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94¢ | 94.5% | -0.9 pts | $102.5K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 6¢ | 5.5% | +0.9 pts | $102.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 7¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$102.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 02:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,125 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Impractical-Tributary | Yes | 4,125 | $227 |
| Illustrious-Spectacles | No | 3,089 | $2.9K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Yes | 922 | $51 |
| Blissful-Login | No | 718 | $678 |
| Cheery-Preparation | No | 508 | $480 |
| Wooden-Geography | No | 492 | $465 |
| Unwelcome-Opponent | No | 400 | $378 |
| Beautiful-Limitation | Yes | 300 | $16 |
| Trifling-Antelope | Yes | 131 | $7 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 61 | $57 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 06:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $28 |
| Oct 13, 06:55 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.9% | $7 |
| Oct 12, 10:04 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.1% | $0 |
| Oct 10, 01:48 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $16 |
| Oct 08, 10:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $273 |
| Oct 08, 06:48 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $4 |
| Oct 05, 11:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.0% | $1 |
| Sep 26, 03:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.1% | $75 |
| Sep 26, 04:01 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $3 |
| Sep 24, 05:23 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 94.5%. Next is Yes at 5.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026?via=bro
$102.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 02:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 94.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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