As of October 24, 2026, 09:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 71.0% in Will UEFA find FC Barcelona guilty in the Negreira case by December 31, 2027? — $80 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 71.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +2.0 pts.
Since October 05, 2026, No has traded between 58.0% and 73.0%. It opened at 65.0% and last traded at 71.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 70.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 71.0% |
No is favored at 71.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 71¢ | 71.0% | — | $80 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 29¢ | 29.0% | — | $80 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 56¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 57¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$80 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a UEFA disciplinary body finds FC Barcelona to have breached UEFA's regulations in connection with FC Barcelona's payments to José María Enríquez Negreira, former vice-president of the Technical Committee of Referees of the Royal Spanish Football Federation, or to companies linked to him (commonly referred to as the "Negreira case") by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A finding will count if it is made in an official decision of the UEFA Control, Ethics and Disciplinary Body or the UEFA Appeals Body and publicly announced, regardless of the sanction imposed, if any, and regardless of whether it is later appealed, reduced, or overturned. A decision declaring FC Barcelona ineligible for, or excluding it from, a UEFA club competition on the basis of these payments will also count. The opening or continuation of an investigation or disciplinary proceedings, reports or recommendations by the UEFA Ethics and Disciplinary Inspectors, interim or provisional measures, rulings by Spanish courts or any other body, and decisions concerning any other matter will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA or FC Barcelona; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 80 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adored-Turning | Yes | 80 | $23 |
| Big-Repair | No | 80 | $57 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 05, 07:30 AM ET | No | BUY | 35.0% | $28 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 71.0%. Next is Yes at 29.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-uefa-find-fc-barcelona-guilty-in-the-negreira-case-by-december-31-2027?via=bro
$80 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 71.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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