Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will UEFA find FC Barcelona guilty in the Negreira case by December 31, 2027?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 71.0% in Will UEFA find FC Barcelona guilty in the Negreira case by December 31, 2027? — $80 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
71%
A 71.0% price implies roughly a 71-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +2.0 pts
No71.0%
Yes29.0%
Bid
1¢
Ask
57¢
Spread
56¢
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Range since October 05, 2026: 58.0% – 73.0% · Opened at 65.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will UEFA find FC Barcelona guilty in the Negreira case by December 31, 2027?
Category
Soccer, Sports, La Liga, UEFA Champions League
Scheduled end
December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$80
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$53
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 71.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 71.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +2.0 pts.

Since October 05, 2026, No has traded between 58.0% and 73.0%. It opened at 65.0% and last traded at 71.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202672.0%
Oct 18, 202673.0%
Oct 19, 202670.0%
Oct 20, 202671.0%
Oct 23, 202671.0%
Oct 24, 202671.0%
Oct 24, 202671.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 71.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No71¢71.0%—$80100.0%
Yes29¢29.0%—$80100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 56¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 57¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$80 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a UEFA disciplinary body finds FC Barcelona to have breached UEFA's regulations in connection with FC Barcelona's payments to José María Enríquez Negreira, former vice-president of the Technical Committee of Referees of the Royal Spanish Football Federation, or to companies linked to him (commonly referred to as the "Negreira case") by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A finding will count if it is made in an official decision of the UEFA Control, Ethics and Disciplinary Body or the UEFA Appeals Body and publicly announced, regardless of the sanction imposed, if any, and regardless of whether it is later appealed, reduced, or overturned. A decision declaring FC Barcelona ineligible for, or excluding it from, a UEFA club competition on the basis of these payments will also count. The opening or continuation of an investigation or disciplinary proceedings, reports or recommendations by the UEFA Ethics and Disciplinary Inspectors, interim or provisional measures, rulings by Spanish courts or any other body, and decisions concerning any other matter will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA or FC Barcelona; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 80 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Adored-TurningYes80$23
Big-RepairNo80$57

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $28 at 35.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 05, 07:30 AM ETNoBUY35.0%$28

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will UEFA find FC Barcelona guilty in the Negreira case by December 31, 2027??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 71.0%. Next is Yes at 29.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-uefa-find-fc-barcelona-guilty-in-the-negreira-case-by-december-31-2027?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will UEFA find FC Barcelona guilty in the Negreira case by December 31, 2027??

$80 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will UEFA find FC Barcelona guilty in the Negreira case by December 31, 2027? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will UEFA find FC Barcelona guilty in the Negreira case by December 31, 2027?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 71.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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