As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 94.1% in Will US annex any territory in 2026? — $158.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 94.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.4 pts; past week: +2.3 pts; past month: +1.1 pts.
Since January 06, 2026, No has traded between 77.0% and 96.9%. It opened at 89.5% and last traded at 96.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.5% |
No is favored at 94.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94¢ | 94.1% | -2.4 pts | $158.3K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 6¢ | 5.9% | +2.4 pts | $158.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 8¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$158.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,200 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compassionate-Kneejerk | No | 2,200 | $2.1K |
| Vast-Trapezoid | Yes | 1,649 | $97 |
| Threadbare-Signal | Yes | 966 | $57 |
| Smart-Average | No | 569 | $535 |
| Glossy-Cashier | No | 505 | $475 |
| Trained-Sniffle | No | 400 | $376 |
| Glittering-Laparoscope | No | 318 | $299 |
| Cheery-Length | No | 300 | $282 |
| Infatuated-Devastation | Yes | 300 | $18 |
| Warped-Waterbed | Yes | 276 | $16 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 08:53 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $78 |
| Oct 23, 08:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $276 |
| Oct 22, 10:58 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.9% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 10:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.1% | $7 |
| Oct 19, 12:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.1% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 06:33 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.1% | $2 |
| Oct 18, 04:20 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $7 |
| Oct 08, 10:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.3% | $150 |
| Oct 07, 03:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.8% | $2 |
| Oct 01, 03:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.2% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 94.1%. Next is Yes at 5.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-annex-any-territory-in-2026?via=bro
$158.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 94.1% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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