As of October 24, 2026, 07:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 94.5% in Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? — $53.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 94.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -4.5 pts; past month: -1.5 pts.
Since January 05, 2026, No has traded between 55.0% and 94.5%. It opened at 56.0% and last traded at 94.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 94.5% |
No is favored at 94.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94¢ | 94.5% | — | $53.3K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 6¢ | 5.5% | — | $53.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 7¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$53.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD-denominated stablecoin supply falls below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is Artemis (https://www.artemis.ai/sectors/stablecoins/by-token), using the "Supply by Currency Peg" chart under the "By Token" tab. The USD percentage shown when hovering over a monthly data point will be used. A monthly data point will be considered finalized once the following month’s data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.
Resolution source: https://www.artemis.ai/sectors/stablecoins/by-token
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,930 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nimble-Soliloquy | No | 2,930 | $2.8K |
| Gentle-Facsimile | Yes | 594 | $33 |
| Supportive-Final | Yes | 564 | $31 |
| Mysterious-Notoriety | Yes | 489 | $27 |
| Last-News | Yes | 350 | $19 |
| Fluffy-Trust | Yes | 300 | $16 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 252 | $14 |
| Punctual-Sand | No | 220 | $208 |
| Tricky-Family | No | 211 | $199 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 200 | $11 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 12:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 02:11 PM ET | No | SELL | 92.0% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 09:33 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 08:33 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $6 |
| Oct 16, 04:10 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 01:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $4 |
| Oct 15, 12:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $8 |
| Oct 15, 11:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.7% | $55 |
| Oct 15, 11:17 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 08:19 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.9% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 94.5%. Next is Yes at 5.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-usd-denominated-stablecoin-market-share-fall-below-99-in-2026?via=bro
$53.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.artemis.ai/sectors/stablecoins/by-token.
No, priced at 94.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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