As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↑1.50 at 50.5% in Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026? — $14.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↑1.50, is priced at 50.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +23.5 pts; past week: -4.5 pts; past month: +6.0 pts.
Since February 06, 2026, ↑1.50 has traded between 18.0% and 52.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 27.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 49.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 27.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 27.5% |
↑1.50 is favored at 50.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑1.50 | 50¢ | 50.5% | +23.5 pts | $38 | 0.3% |
| ↓1.30 | 48¢ | 48.5% | +8.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| ↓1.25 | 47¢ | 47.0% | +5.5 pts | $86 | 0.6% |
| ↓1.33 | 46¢ | 45.5% | +4.0 pts | $61 | 0.4% |
| ↑1.45 | 36¢ | 36.5% | — | $6.3K | 42.6% |
| ↑1.55 | 20¢ | 20.0% | — | $224 | 1.5% |
| ↓1.20 | 10¢ | 10.5% | — | $103 | 0.7% |
| ↓1.10 | 8¢ | 7.5% | — | $230 | 1.6% |
| ↑1.60 | 6¢ | 5.5% | — | $524 | 3.6% |
| ↑1.70 | 3¢ | 3.2% | — | $1.5K | 10.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 81¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 91¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$14.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 30, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Resolution source: https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 36 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 36 | $18 |
| Strange-Undertaker | No | 15 | $7 |
| Knotty-Hatchet | No | 10 | $5 |
| Delectable-Waistband-Star | No | 10 | $5 |
| Hateful-Driveway | No | 2 | $1 |
| Squiggly-Waiting | Yes | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 03:31 AM ET | No | BUY | 64.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 03:21 AM ET | No | BUY | 63.0% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 08:11 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 08:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $28 |
| Oct 20, 08:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $9 |
| Oct 20, 08:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $9 |
| Oct 20, 08:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $9 |
| Oct 10, 02:28 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.3% | $2 |
| Oct 07, 07:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $0 |
| Oct 07, 06:40 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.1% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↑1.50 at 50.5%. Next is ↓1.30 at 48.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-usdcad-hit-in-2026?via=bro
$14.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 30, 2026, 07:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart.
↑1.50, priced at 50.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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