As of October 24, 2026, 07:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↓1300 at 50.0% in Will USD/KRW hit __ in 2026? — $137.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↓1300, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.5 pts; past week: +12.0 pts; past month: +6.0 pts.
Since February 06, 2026, ↓1300 has traded between 12.5% and 55.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 49.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 38.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 31.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 26.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 24.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 24.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 49.0% |
↓1300 is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓1300 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +4.5 pts | $132 | 0.1% |
| ↓1200 | 12¢ | 12.0% | +1.0 pts | $212 | 0.2% |
| ↓1100 | 10¢ | 10.5% | — | $267 | 0.2% |
| ↓1000 | 10¢ | 10.2% | +0.1 pts | $429 | 0.3% |
| ↑1600 | 9¢ | 9.0% | — | $1.2K | 0.9% |
| ↑1650 | 8¢ | 7.5% | +0.5 pts | $696 | 0.5% |
| ↑1700 | 6¢ | 6.5% | +0.5 pts | $153 | 0.1% |
| ↑1800 | 4¢ | 4.0% | -0.1 pts | $469 | 0.3% |
| ↑2000 | 2¢ | 2.3% | — | $47.6K | 34.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 80¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$137.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 30, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/KRW hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/KRW hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/KRW Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-krw-chart).
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 40 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 40 | $20 |
| Slim-Chitchat | No | 37 | $18 |
| Flimsy-Hydrolysis | No | 29 | $15 |
| Euphoric-Snowplow | Yes | 23 | $11 |
| Knotty-Hatchet | No | 15 | $8 |
| Sharp-Landform | Yes | 14 | $7 |
| Pretty-Seaside | Yes | 3 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 09:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 02, 03:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $1 |
| Oct 02, 08:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.9% | $1 |
| Sep 18, 05:25 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Sep 15, 08:11 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.8% | $2 |
| Sep 15, 08:10 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.9% | $1 |
| Sep 09, 12:31 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $1 |
| Sep 09, 12:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.2% | $8 |
| Aug 21, 02:18 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.2% | $38 |
| Aug 21, 02:18 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.2% | $38 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↓1300 at 50.0%. Next is ↓1200 at 12.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-usdkrw-hit-in-2026?via=bro
$137.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 30, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.
↓1300, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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