As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 38.7% in Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___? — $189.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 38.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.1 pts; past week: -6.5 pts; past month: -15.1 pts.
Since December 30, 2025, December 31, 2026 has traded between 36.9% and 99.8%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 40.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 49.3% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 45.1% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 45.4% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 44.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 43.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 43.1% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 40.8% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 38.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 39¢ | 38.7% | -3.1 pts | $150.6K | 79.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 17¢ (bid 30¢ / ask 47¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$189.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDT marketcap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for USDT, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data. The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page. This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,309 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coarse-Broad | No | 1,309 | $802 |
| Cautious-Folklore | No | 944 | $579 |
| Burdensome-Answer | No | 936 | $574 |
| Near-Jogging | No | 842 | $516 |
| Sparkling-Standardisation | Yes | 798 | $309 |
| Milky-Lightscreen | Yes | 779 | $301 |
| Damp-Alliance | No | 777 | $476 |
| Fumbling-Zucchini | Yes | 767 | $297 |
| Evil-Mat | Yes | 764 | $296 |
| Itchy-Subroutine | No | 763 | $468 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 01:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 69.5% | $51 |
| Oct 13, 02:51 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 39.6% | $3 |
| Oct 13, 02:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 59.9% | $5 |
| Sep 29, 05:19 AM ET | No | BUY | 49.0% | $41 |
| Sep 25, 10:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.5% | $4 |
| Sep 19, 08:34 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 51.1% | $1 |
| Sep 09, 10:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 33.6% | $244 |
| Sep 03, 11:03 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.6% | $1 |
| Sep 03, 09:31 PM ET | No | SELL | 52.0% | $8 |
| Aug 31, 09:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 34.9% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 38.7%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-usdt-market-cap-hit-by-december-31?via=bro
$189.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel.
December 31, 2026, priced at 38.7% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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