As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 80.7% in Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027? — $27.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 80.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.3 pts; past week: +0.1 pts; past month: -19.9 pts.
Since June 15, 2026, No has traded between 22.8% and 92.4%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 81.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 80.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 81.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 81.0% |
No is favored at 80.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 81¢ | 80.7% | -0.3 pts | $27.7K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 19¢ | 19.3% | +0.3 pts | $27.7K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 32¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 35¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$27.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve officially releases Deadlock by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, "officially released" is defined as Deadlock being made publicly available to all players without requiring an invite, key, or any other form of restricted access on at least one platform. A transition to open Early Access on Steam qualifies as an official release, provided it is accessible to the general public without restrictions. An invite-only playtest, closed beta, or limited technical test does not qualify, regardless of player count or media coverage. For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Deadlock. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and the Deadlock Steam page (https://store.steampowered.com/app/1422450/Deadlock/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://store.steampowered.com/app/1422450/Deadlock/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 150 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Profitable-Savings-Zebrafish | No | 150 | $121 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 139 | $27 |
| Stiff-Limestone | Yes | 64 | $12 |
| Prize-Standing | No | 58 | $47 |
| Evil-Row | No | 56 | $46 |
| Reckless-Something | Yes | 51 | $10 |
| Oval-Dozen | Yes | 45 | $9 |
| Vengeful-Chemistry-Debris | Yes | 33 | $6 |
| Fearless-Misnomer | No | 32 | $26 |
| Genuine-Instrumentalist | No | 28 | $22 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 12:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.5% | $1 |
| Oct 14, 11:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.6% | $2 |
| Oct 14, 10:04 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.5% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 03:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.9% | $1 |
| Oct 02, 11:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 71.0% | $4 |
| Oct 02, 11:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.8% | $5 |
| Sep 30, 10:14 AM ET | No | BUY | 64.0% | $3 |
| Sep 29, 08:11 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.1% | $3 |
| Sep 29, 07:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $1 |
| Sep 29, 07:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 80.7%. Next is Yes at 19.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-valve-officially-release-deadlock-before-2027-20260615174246158?via=bro
$27.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://store.steampowered.com/app/1422450/Deadlock/.
No, priced at 80.7% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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