As of October 24, 2026, 09:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 53.0% in Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31? — $33 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 53.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.5 pts; past week: +21.2 pts; past month: -7.6 pts.
Since September 01, 2026, No has traded between 28.0% and 74.5%. It opened at 70.0% and last traded at 53.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 74.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 49.9% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 49.6% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 53.0% |
No is favored at 53.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 53¢ | 53.0% | +3.5 pts | $33 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 47¢ | 47.0% | -3.5 pts | $33 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 92¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 93¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$33 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify. For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 11 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shallow-Anarchist | Yes | 11 | $5 |
| Cool-Storyboard | No | 10 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 05:29 AM ET | No | SELL | 0.4% | $0 |
| Oct 08, 08:15 PM ET | No | SELL | 47.4% | $3 |
| Oct 08, 08:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 51.9% | $3 |
| Sep 26, 06:23 AM ET | No | SELL | 40.1% | $0 |
| Sep 26, 01:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 38.3% | $0 |
| Sep 18, 12:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Sep 09, 07:25 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 94.2% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 53.0%. Next is Yes at 47.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-valve-release-a-new-dota-2-hero-by-december-31?via=bro
$33 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 53.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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