As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 2026 at 2.9% in Will Ventuals launch a token by ___ ? — $216.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31 2026, is priced at 2.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: -0.5 pts.
Since November 24, 2025, December 31 2026 has traded between 2.1% and 95.1%. It opened at 85.0% and last traded at 2.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 2.9% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 2.9% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 2.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 2.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 2.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 3.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 2.9% |
December 31 2026 is favored at 2.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 2026 | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $26.9K | 12.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$216.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ventuals, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://x.com/ventuals
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,033 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8931aa50… | No | 2,033 | $2.0K |
| Tremendous-Divide | Yes | 1,074 | $32 |
| Separate-Conga | No | 369 | $358 |
| Sparse-Paintwork | Yes | 340 | $10 |
| Pleasing-Elm | Yes | 326 | $10 |
| 0xc7e88a70… | Yes | 254 | $7 |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 209 | $6 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 165 | $5 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk | No | 161 | $156 |
| Imaginative-Shoes | Yes | 140 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 11:42 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.8% | $0 |
| Oct 14, 12:31 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.8% | $357 |
| Sep 28, 11:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.1% | $2 |
| Sep 27, 12:34 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $18 |
| Sep 20, 06:31 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.2% | $19 |
| Sep 17, 07:08 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.4% | $2 |
| Sep 17, 07:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $0 |
| Sep 17, 07:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.7% | $0 |
| Sep 17, 07:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $2 |
| Sep 17, 07:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.7% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 2026 at 2.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ventuals-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$216.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/ventuals.
December 31 2026, priced at 2.9% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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