Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.7% in Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027? — $188.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $198.
Leading outcome
No
98%
A 97.7% price implies roughly a 98-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.3 pts7D −3.1 pts30D −5.7 pts
No97.7%
Yes2.4%
Bid
2¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
0¢
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Range since July 24, 2026: 79.5% – 98.4% · Opened at 86.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?
Category
Russia, Finance, Ukraine, Geopolitics
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$188.1K
Volume (24h)
$198
Liquidity
$36.8K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 97.7%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.7%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.3 pts; past week: -3.1 pts; past month: -5.7 pts.

Since July 24, 2026, No has traded between 79.5% and 98.4%. It opened at 86.5% and last traded at 98.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202693.5%
Oct 17, 202694.5%
Oct 18, 202694.5%
Oct 19, 202693.9%
Oct 20, 202697.4%
Oct 22, 202698.4%
Oct 23, 202698.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 97.7%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No98¢97.7%-0.3 pts$188.1K100.0%
Yes2¢2.4%+0.3 pts$188.1K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$188.1K has been traded on this event in total, $198 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if RVB LLC, which does business as Wildberries, or any corporate parent, subsidiary, or successor of RVB LLC, announces that it is petitioning or filing for or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs, or if such a filing or petition is rejected, withdrawn, or otherwise not accepted. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents RVB LLC, or through a filing confirmed to be authentic. Announcements that the company is considering bankruptcy, will file depending on the outcome of a subsequent event, or other statements that do not announce that a filing has or will definitively occur will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 13,186 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Tall-SuspensionYes13,186$310
Elaborate-Whale-HammerNo9,670$9.4K
Soulful-CleanerNo6,634$6.5K
Lovable-Thrush-ConeYes4,664$110
Deficient-SettlementYes4,582$108
Idolized-Badger-GatorNo4,496$4.4K
Failing-ManhuntNo2,331$2.3K
Musty-BitYes2,116$50
Easy-Textual-PassageNo1,933$1.9K
Dependent-SausageYes1,829$43

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $2.5K at 97.7%SELL No — $1.0K at 98.0%SELL No — $938 at 96.5%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:41 AM ETYesBUY2.8%$1
Oct 24, 07:35 AM ETYesBUY2.8%$1
Oct 23, 08:34 PM ETNoSELL97.8%$116
Oct 23, 01:01 PM ETYesSELL1.7%$0
Oct 23, 11:50 AM ETNoSELL97.8%$59
Oct 23, 06:57 AM ETNoSELL97.8%$26
Oct 22, 05:29 PM ETNoSELL97.7%$5
Oct 22, 05:28 PM ETNoSELL97.7%$2.5K
Oct 22, 02:57 PM ETNoSELL98.0%$1
Oct 22, 11:31 AM ETNoSELL98.0%$1.0K

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.7%. Next is Yes at 2.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-wildberries-announce-bankruptcy-before-2027-20260723171611669?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027??

$188.1K in total volume, with $198 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 97.7% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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