As of October 24, 2026, 09:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↑ $4,000 at 79.0% in What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 26 2026? — $165 traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↑ $4,000, is priced at 79.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.0 pts.
Since October 23, 2026, ↑ $4,000 has traded between 76.5% and 79.5%. It opened at 76.5% and last traded at 79.5%.
↑ $4,000 is favored at 79.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $4,000 | 79¢ | 79.0% | +2.0 pts | $72 | 43.7% |
| ↓ $3,950 | 78¢ | 77.5% | +3.5 pts | $86 | 52.4% |
| ↑ $4,050 | 50¢ | 50.0% | -15.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| ↓ $3,900 | 46¢ | 45.5% | -18.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| ↑ $4,100 | 35¢ | 35.0% | -16.0 pts | $6 | 3.9% |
| ↓ $3,850 | 24¢ | 24.0% | -27.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| ↑ $4,150 | 19¢ | 19.0% | -32.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| ↓ $3,800 | 10¢ | 9.5% | -41.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| ↑ $4,200 | 9¢ | 9.0% | -42.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| ↑ $4,300 | 6¢ | 5.5% | -45.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| ↑ $4,250 | 6¢ | 5.5% | -45.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| ↓ $3,750 | 6¢ | 5.5% | -45.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| ↓ $3,700 | 6¢ | 5.5% | -45.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| ↓ $3,650 | 5¢ | 5.0% | -45.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 38¢ (bid 60¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$165 has been traded on this event in total, $79 of it in the last 24 hours, across 14 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of October 26 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 60 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Academic-Waiter-Fencing | No | 60 | $13 |
| Third-Odyssey | Yes | 40 | $32 |
| 0xbbf68628… | Yes | 26 | $20 |
| Different-Hygienic-Elver | No | 12 | $3 |
| Greedy-Neighbourhood | Yes | 6 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 39.5% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 45.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 01:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 41.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 06:20 AM ET | No | BUY | 46.0% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 06:20 AM ET | No | BUY | 44.7% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 05:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 49.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↑ $4,000 at 79.0%. Next is ↓ $3,950 at 77.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-xauusd-hit-week-of-october-26-2026?via=bro
$165 in total volume, with $79 traded in the last 24 hours across 14 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 05:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD.
↑ $4,000, priced at 79.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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