Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:44 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 10.5% in Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...? — $998.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $73.
Leading outcome
December 31
10%
A 10.5% price implies roughly a 10-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +3.5 pts30D +3.0 pts
Bid
10¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since January 30, 2026: 5.0% – 50.0% · Opened at 50.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
Category
Geopolitics, Ukraine, putin, zelenskyy, Politics, Russia
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$998.2K
Volume (24h)
$73
Liquidity
$21.1K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
December 31 — 10.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 10.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +3.5 pts; past month: +3.0 pts.

Since January 30, 2026, December 31 has traded between 5.0% and 50.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 10.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 20266.0%
Oct 16, 20265.0%
Oct 18, 20267.0%
Oct 19, 20267.5%
Oct 20, 20267.0%
Oct 23, 202610.5%
Oct 24, 202610.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31 is favored at 10.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 3110¢10.5%—$172.7K17.3%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$998.2K has been traded on this event in total, $73 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. Events that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 18,086 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Large-GainYes18,086$1.9K
Easy-MerchantNo12,689$11.4K
Fuzzy-AstrolabeNo11,782$10.5K
Breakable-BottomlineYes10,173$1.1K
Dramatic-SheepNo9,000$8.1K
Unwitting-BeanieYes7,161$752
Quarterly-BackpackNo7,063$6.3K
Dependent-SausageYes3,073$323
Light-HygienicNo2,742$2.5K
Opulent-WindowYes2,661$279

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $1.3K at 89.7%SELL No — $112 at 90.0%SELL No — $86 at 92.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 02:32 PM ETNoBUY90.0%$25
Oct 24, 02:32 PM ETYesBUY11.0%$5
Oct 23, 09:35 AM ETYesSELL10.0%$2
Oct 23, 08:08 AM ETYesSELL10.0%$9
Oct 23, 08:08 AM ETNoSELL89.0%$4
Oct 23, 08:08 AM ETYesSELL10.0%$0
Oct 23, 12:46 AM ETYesBUY12.0%$1
Oct 22, 10:41 PM ETYesSELL9.0%$0
Oct 22, 10:41 PM ETYesSELL9.0%$2
Oct 22, 10:40 PM ETYesSELL9.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 10.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-zelenskyy-talk-to-putin-by-november-30-821?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...??

$998.2K in total volume, with $73 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, priced at 10.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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