As of October 24, 2026, 09:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 83.0% in Will Zohran Mamdani release another song? — $126 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 83.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -1.0 pts; past month: -5.5 pts.
Since April 17, 2026, No has traded between 43.5% and 83.0%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 83.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 83.0% |
No is favored at 83.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 83¢ | 83.0% | — | $126 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 17¢ | 17.0% | — | $126 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 16¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 25¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$126 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 02:59 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date. Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify. If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count. A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs. The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 90 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elementary-Laboratory | No | 90 | $75 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 79 | $13 |
| Squiggly-Waiting | Yes | 10 | $2 |
| Jumbo-Discharge | Yes | 10 | $2 |
| 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 | No | 10 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 10:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $9 |
| Jul 02, 10:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $0 |
| Jul 02, 09:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $2 |
| Jun 16, 11:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 71.0% | $6 |
| Jun 16, 11:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $25 |
| Jun 14, 12:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 82.7% | $53 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 83.0%. Next is Yes at 17.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-zohran-mamdani-release-another-song?via=bro
$126 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 02:59 AM ET.
No, priced at 83.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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