As of October 24, 2026, 08:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Scott Gillingham at 92.0% in Winnipeg Mayoral Election — $36.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Scott Gillingham, is priced at 92.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +11.0 pts; past month: +38.0 pts.
Since August 10, 2026, Scott Gillingham has traded between 49.0% and 91.5%. It opened at 74.5% and last traded at 91.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 91.5% |
Scott Gillingham is favored at 92.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gillingham | 92¢ | 92.0% | +0.5 pts | $17.7K | 48.7% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kevin Klein | 6¢ | 5.6% | +0.6 pts | $2.0K | 5.5% |
| Mazher Alam | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.3 pts | $3.5K | 9.6% |
| Don Woodstock | 2¢ | 1.8% | +0.2 pts | $5.4K | 14.9% |
| Noah Redden | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $2.1K | 5.8% |
| Joshua Pagdato | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $485 | 1.3% |
| Umar Hayat | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $415 | 1.1% |
| Michael Vogiatzakis | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.4K | 6.7% |
| Christopher Clacio | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $525 | 1.4% |
| Zachary Uminski | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $405 | 1.1% |
| Johnny Calderon | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.4K | 3.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 91¢ / ask 93¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$36.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 37 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,947 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,947 | $156 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 871 | $801 |
| Scared-Administrator | Yes | 683 | $628 |
| Thunderous-Frenzy-Transaction | Yes | 371 | $341 |
| All-Peasant-Drug | Yes | 243 | $224 |
| Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet | Yes | 234 | $215 |
| Mean-Recruit-Idea | No | 227 | $18 |
| Expensive-Arrow-Nightclub | No | 225 | $18 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | No | 191 | $15 |
| Feline-Asparagus | Yes | 177 | $163 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 04:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $16 |
| Oct 23, 01:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 89.0% | $44 |
| Oct 23, 01:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 90.0% | $45 |
| Oct 23, 01:23 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 90.0% | $45 |
| Oct 23, 01:22 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 90.0% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 01:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 8.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 01:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 01:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 01:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 90.4% | $238 |
| Oct 23, 01:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Scott Gillingham at 92.0%. Next is Candidate B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/winnipeg-mayoral-election-2026?via=bro
$36.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 37 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Scott Gillingham, priced at 92.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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