As of October 24, 2026, 06:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price David Crowley (D) at 80.5% in Wisconsin Governor Election Winner — $805.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, David Crowley (D), is priced at 80.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: -4.5 pts.
Since October 13, 2025, David Crowley (D) has traded between 39.5% and 87.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 80.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 80.5% |
David Crowley (D) is favored at 80.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Crowley (D) | 80¢ | 80.5% | — | $415.0K | 51.5% |
| Tom Tiffany (R) | 20¢ | 19.5% | — | $390.6K | 48.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 80¢ / ask 81¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$805.7K has been traded on this event in total, $6.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 122,547 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 122,547 | $23.9K |
| Powerful-Election | Yes | 42,449 | $34.2K |
| Pitiful-Patience | Yes | 29,926 | $24.1K |
| Robust-Exhaust | Yes | 13,801 | $11.1K |
| Forceful-Manufacturing | Yes | 10,034 | $8.1K |
| Closed-Barracks | Yes | 10,000 | $8.1K |
| Measly-Harbor | Yes | 9,153 | $7.4K |
| Decent-Location | Yes | 7,212 | $5.8K |
| Ironclad-Housework | No | 6,870 | $1.3K |
| Muddy-Nose | Yes | 6,200 | $5.0K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | No | SELL | 19.0% | $857 |
| Oct 24, 03:39 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:39 PM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 01:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $50 |
| Oct 24, 12:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 07:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 81.0% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 07:29 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.0% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 07:18 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 06:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.0% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 06:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.0% | $19 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is David Crowley (D) at 80.5%. Next is Tom Tiffany (R) at 19.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-governor-winner-2026?via=bro
$805.7K in total volume, with $6.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
David Crowley (D), priced at 80.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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