As of October 24, 2026, 09:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Graham Hansen at 72.5% in Women's Ballon d'Or 2026: Caroline Graham Hansen or Claudia Pina to finish higher? — $644 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Graham Hansen, is priced at 72.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -8.0 pts.
Since September 29, 2026, Graham Hansen has traded between 50.0% and 81.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 72.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 72.5% |
Graham Hansen is favored at 72.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Hansen | 72¢ | 72.5% | — | $644 | 100.0% |
| Pina | 28¢ | 27.5% | — | $644 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 71¢ / ask 74¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$644 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Graham Hansen" if Caroline Graham Hansen finishes higher than Claudia Pina in the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Pina" if Claudia Pina finishes higher than Caroline Graham Hansen. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Women's Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 80 shares of Graham Hansen.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angelic-Craw | Graham Hansen | 80 | $58 |
| Creamy-Geology | Pina | 33 | $9 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Pina | 30 | $8 |
| Wry-Friction-Banquette | Graham Hansen | 20 | $14 |
| Plump-Implementation | Pina | 13 | $4 |
| Unlined-Pole | Pina | 10 | $3 |
| Oddball-Compress-Lotion | Pina | 7 | $2 |
| Quaint-Velvet | Pina | 7 | $2 |
| Far-Off-Going | Graham Hansen | 1 | $1 |
| Harmonious-Yang | Pina | 1 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 08:36 PM ET | Pina | BUY | 35.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 01:26 PM ET | Pina | BUY | 35.0% | $2 |
| Oct 09, 09:11 AM ET | Graham Hansen | BUY | 59.0% | $6 |
| Oct 09, 09:11 AM ET | Pina | SELL | 41.0% | $53 |
| Oct 09, 09:11 AM ET | Graham Hansen | BUY | 60.0% | $6 |
| Oct 09, 09:11 AM ET | Graham Hansen | BUY | 60.6% | $24 |
| Oct 09, 09:11 AM ET | Graham Hansen | BUY | 59.0% | $30 |
| Oct 09, 09:11 AM ET | Graham Hansen | BUY | 59.0% | $24 |
| Oct 03, 06:42 AM ET | Pina | BUY | 28.0% | $6 |
| Oct 02, 05:55 AM ET | Pina | BUY | 31.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Graham Hansen at 72.5%. Next is Pina at 27.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/womens-ballon-dor-2026-caroline-graham-hansen-or-claudia-pina-to-finish-higher?via=bro
$644 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Graham Hansen, priced at 72.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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