As of October 24, 2026, 09:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Pajor at 51.0% in Women's Ballon d'Or 2026: Ewa Pajor or Claudia Pina to finish higher? — $60 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Pajor, is priced at 51.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -15.5 pts; past week: -5.5 pts.
Since September 29, 2026, Pajor has traded between 50.0% and 89.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 51.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 56.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 55.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 56.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 51.0% |
Pajor is favored at 51.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pajor | 51¢ | 51.0% | -15.5 pts | $60 | 100.0% |
| Pina | 49¢ | 49.0% | +15.5 pts | $60 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 88¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$60 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Pajor" if Ewa Pajor finishes higher than Claudia Pina in the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Pina" if Claudia Pina finishes higher than Ewa Pajor. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Women's Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 20 shares of Pajor.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plump-Implementation | Pajor | 20 | $10 |
| Grim-Garage | Pina | 20 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 01, 01:35 AM ET | Pina | SELL | 10.0% | $2 |
| Sep 30, 04:39 PM ET | Pajor | BUY | 14.0% | $3 |
| Sep 30, 04:12 PM ET | Pina | BUY | 14.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Pajor at 51.0%. Next is Pina at 49.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/womens-ballon-dor-2026-ewa-pajor-or-claudia-pina-to-finish-higher?via=bro
$60 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Pajor, priced at 51.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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