As of October 24, 2026, 08:05 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ewa Pajor at 99.0% in Women's Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026 — $30.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Ewa Pajor, is priced at 99.0%.
Since September 29, 2026, Ewa Pajor has traded between 84.0% and 99.0%. It opened at 84.0% and last traded at 99.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 99.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 99.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 99.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 99.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 99.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 99.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 99.0% |
Ewa Pajor is favored at 99.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ewa Pajor | 99¢ | 99.0% | — | $860 | 2.9% |
| Alexia Putellas | 98¢ | 98.2% | — | $190 | 0.6% |
| Melchie Dumornay | 96¢ | 96.2% | +0.6 pts | $831 | 2.8% |
| Pernille Harder | 96¢ | 95.5% | +8.5 pts | $2.1K | 7.2% |
| Khadija Shaw | 95¢ | 95.0% | +1.5 pts | $876 | 2.9% |
| Patri Guijarro | 88¢ | 88.0% | — | $2.1K | 7.1% |
| Caroline Graham Hansen | 84¢ | 83.5% | — | $2.1K | 6.9% |
| Alessia Russo | 84¢ | 83.5% | +4.5 pts | $460 | 1.5% |
| Claudia Pina | 74¢ | 73.7% | -12.3 pts | $1.8K | 5.9% |
| Temwa Chawinga | 43¢ | 43.0% | -38.5 pts | $1.5K | 5.1% |
| Yui Hasegawa | 33¢ | 33.0% | +4.0 pts | $6.1K | 20.4% |
| Mapi León | 26¢ | 26.5% | +13.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Mariona Caldentey | 22¢ | 21.5% | -2.0 pts | $1.1K | 3.6% |
| Klara Buhl | 19¢ | 19.0% | -12.5 pts | $2.1K | 7.1% |
| Kerstin Casparij | 16¢ | 15.5% | -12.5 pts | $10 | 0.0% |
| Esmee Brugts | 12¢ | 12.0% | -11.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Barbra Banda | 11¢ | 11.0% | -0.5 pts | $1.2K | 4.0% |
| Vivianne Miedema | 8¢ | 8.0% | — | $284 | 0.9% |
| Cata Coll | 8¢ | 7.5% | -0.5 pts | $2.4K | 7.9% |
| Manaka Matsukubo | 7¢ | 7.0% | — | $542 | 1.8% |
| Caroline Weir | 6¢ | 6.2% | +0.2 pts | $243 | 0.8% |
| Momoko Tanikawa | 6¢ | 6.0% | +1.0 pts | $83 | 0.3% |
| Tessa Wullaert | 5¢ | 5.0% | -1.5 pts | $1.3K | 4.3% |
| Melvine Malard | 5¢ | 4.7% | -1.5 pts | $362 | 1.2% |
| Lorena | 4¢ | 3.9% | -1.5 pts | $240 | 0.8% |
| Selma Bacha | 4¢ | 3.9% | -1.4 pts | $102 | 0.3% |
| Alex Greenwood | 4¢ | 3.8% | -0.2 pts | $174 | 0.6% |
| Wendie Renard | 3¢ | 3.0% | -0.3 pts | $546 | 1.8% |
| Rose Lavelle | 2¢ | 2.5% | -1.7 pts | $120 | 0.4% |
| Scarlett Camberos | 2¢ | 2.2% | +1.6 pts | $232 | 0.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 99¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$30.0K has been traded on this event in total, $593 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 of the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 10 players tie for the top 10 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 10 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final ten places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Women's Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 110 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angelic-Craw | Yes | 110 | $109 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 80 | $1 |
| Gorgeous-Cymbal | No | 40 | $0 |
| Gargantuan-Hydrocarb | Yes | 21 | $21 |
| Scarce-Footnote | Yes | 20 | $20 |
| Wretched-Myth-Downfall | No | 12 | $0 |
| Old-Fashioned-Handholding-Viscose | No | 12 | $0 |
| Voluminous-Lava | No | 7 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:02 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 93.3% | $38 |
| Oct 24, 07:02 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $127 |
| Oct 23, 01:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $39 |
| Oct 22, 08:42 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 85.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 08:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 87.2% | $24 |
| Oct 22, 08:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 13.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 08:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 13.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 08:12 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 88.0% | $39 |
| Oct 22, 06:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 88.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 06:53 PM ET | No | BUY | 13.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ewa Pajor at 99.0%. Next is Alexia Putellas at 98.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/womens-ballon-dor-top-10-finish-2026?via=bro
$30.0K in total volume, with $593 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Ewa Pajor, priced at 99.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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