As of October 24, 2026, 08:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Alexia Putellas at 88.6% in Women's Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026 — $3.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Alexia Putellas, is priced at 88.6%.
Since September 29, 2026, Alexia Putellas has traded between 50.9% and 95.0%. It opened at 89.5% and last traded at 88.6%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 88.6% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 88.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 88.6% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 88.6% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 88.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 88.6% |
Alexia Putellas is favored at 88.6%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexia Putellas | 89¢ | 88.6% | — | $601 | 15.3% |
| Melchie Dumornay | 75¢ | 75.0% | — | $632 | 16.1% |
| Ewa Pajor | 74¢ | 74.0% | — | $313 | 8.0% |
| Pernille Harder | 50¢ | 50.5% | -1.5 pts | $728 | 18.5% |
| Patri Guijarro | 50¢ | 50.3% | +0.1 pts | $40 | 1.0% |
| Mariona Caldentey | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Klara Buhl | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alessia Russo | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Temwa Chawinga | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Selma Bacha | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Scarlett Camberos | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kerstin Casparij | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alex Greenwood | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Yui Hasegawa | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Mapi León | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lorena | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Tessa Wullaert | 49¢ | 49.0% | -0.4 pts | $62 | 1.6% |
| Caroline Graham Hansen | 45¢ | 45.0% | -4.5 pts | $60 | 1.5% |
| Khadija Shaw | 18¢ | 18.5% | — | $20 | 0.5% |
| Vivianne Miedema | 14¢ | 13.5% | — | $69 | 1.8% |
| Cata Coll | 4¢ | 3.5% | — | $102 | 2.6% |
| Claudia Pina | 3¢ | 3.4% | — | $41 | 1.0% |
| Caroline Weir | 3¢ | 3.4% | -0.3 pts | $137 | 3.5% |
| Wendie Renard | 3¢ | 3.4% | — | $62 | 1.6% |
| Barbra Banda | 3¢ | 3.2% | — | $102 | 2.6% |
| Melvine Malard | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $191 | 4.9% |
| Rose Lavelle | 3¢ | 2.8% | -0.1 pts | $122 | 3.1% |
| Momoko Tanikawa | 3¢ | 2.6% | -0.1 pts | $244 | 6.2% |
| Manaka Matsukubo | 2¢ | 2.2% | -0.5 pts | $202 | 5.1% |
| Esmee Brugts | 2¢ | 2.1% | +1.1 pts | $201 | 5.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 22¢ (bid 78¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 3 of the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 3 players tie for the top 3 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 3 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final three places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Women's Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 61 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grave-Atelier | Yes | 61 | $54 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 21 | $2 |
| Apt-Antecedent | No | 20 | $2 |
| Voluminous-Lava | No | 10 | $1 |
| Nonstop-Knitting | No | 10 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 01:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.4% | $16 |
| Oct 03, 08:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 76.0% | $15 |
| Oct 03, 08:51 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.0% | $13 |
| Oct 01, 10:24 PM ET | No | SELL | 33.0% | $7 |
| Oct 01, 10:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.0% | $14 |
| Oct 01, 10:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 33.0% | $7 |
| Oct 01, 01:40 PM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $13 |
| Sep 30, 07:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 47.0% | $9 |
| Sep 30, 11:36 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 99.0% | $198 |
| Sep 30, 10:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 68.0% | $14 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Alexia Putellas at 88.6%. Next is Melchie Dumornay at 75.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/womens-ballon-dor-top-3-finish-2026?via=bro
$3.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Alexia Putellas, priced at 88.6% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.