Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Alexia Putellas at 99.8% in Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026 — $10.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Alexia Putellas
100%
A 99.8% price implies roughly a 100-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +0.9 pts
Alexia Putellas99.8%
Melchie Dumornay95.2%
Bid
100¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
0¢
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Range since September 29, 2026: 95.5% – 99.8% · Opened at 95.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
Category
Awards, Soccer, Sports, Hide From New, Womens Ballon d'Or, Ballon d'Or
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$10.0K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$3.9K
Markets
30
Leading outcome
Alexia Putellas — 99.8%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Alexia Putellas, is priced at 99.8%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.9 pts.

Since September 29, 2026, Alexia Putellas has traded between 95.5% and 99.8%. It opened at 95.5% and last traded at 99.8%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202699.0%
Oct 17, 202699.0%
Oct 18, 202699.2%
Oct 19, 202699.0%
Oct 20, 202699.0%
Oct 22, 202699.8%
Oct 23, 202699.8%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Alexia Putellas is favored at 99.8%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Alexia Putellas100¢99.8%—$2.0K20.4%
Melchie Dumornay95¢95.2%-0.9 pts$9709.7%
Ewa Pajor94¢94.5%-0.6 pts$1.3K12.8%
Khadija Shaw73¢73.0%—$800.8%
Barbra Banda50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Kerstin Casparij50¢50.0%—$50.1%
Alex Greenwood50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Wendie Renard50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Tessa Wullaert50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Alessia Russo49¢49.0%+23.0 pts$9569.6%
Klara Buhl48¢48.5%-1.0 pts$6626.6%
Patri Guijarro48¢48.5%—$2622.6%
Pernille Harder46¢45.5%-0.6 pts$4955.0%
Claudia Pina42¢42.0%+16.0 pts$1221.2%
Temwa Chawinga26¢26.5%+0.5 pts$2382.4%
Scarlett Camberos23¢22.7%+6.3 pts$00.0%
Cata Coll20¢20.1%—$4414.4%
Momoko Tanikawa17¢16.7%+3.4 pts$00.0%
Vivianne Miedema15¢15.0%—$00.0%
Rose Lavelle13¢13.2%—$00.0%
Caroline Graham Hansen11¢11.0%+1.0 pts$2602.6%
Manaka Matsukubo8¢8.3%-4.3 pts$3133.1%
Yui Hasegawa8¢7.5%—$2212.2%
Melvine Malard5¢5.0%-0.5 pts$1721.7%
Mapi León5¢5.0%-0.1 pts$961.0%
Esmee Brugts4¢4.5%—$4924.9%
Lorena4¢3.8%-0.7 pts$1401.4%
Mariona Caldentey4¢3.5%—$5005.0%
Caroline Weir4¢3.5%—$810.8%
Selma Bacha0¢0.2%—$1421.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 100¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$10.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 5 players tie for the top 5 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 5 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final five places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Women's Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 804 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Tinted-ConsciousnessYes804$803
Straight-WrinkleNo288$1
Offbeat-CareerNo180$0
Nonstop-KnittingNo50$0
Better-BrowsingNo50$0
Rundown-ConspiratorNo50$0
Past-LaboratoryNo47$0
Numb-DimensionNo40$0
Dimpled-SpiderlingNo37$0
Apprehensive-Drizzle-AdrenalinNo27$0

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $778 at 96.7%BUY Yes — $256 at 91.0%BUY Yes — $136 at 93.1%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 07:48 PM ETNoSELL0.1%$0
Oct 19, 11:48 PM ETNoSELL2.9%$0
Oct 19, 11:48 PM ETNoSELL3.0%$1
Oct 19, 08:54 PM ETNoSELL2.9%$0
Oct 18, 09:37 AM ETYesSELL97.0%$95
Oct 18, 09:22 AM ETYesBUY96.3%$54
Oct 18, 07:46 AM ETNoBUY2.2%$1
Oct 15, 06:57 AM ETNoSELL2.9%$0
Oct 15, 06:57 AM ETNoSELL3.0%$0
Oct 15, 06:57 AM ETNoSELL3.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Alexia Putellas at 99.8%. Next is Melchie Dumornay at 95.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/womens-ballon-dor-top-5-finish-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026?

$10.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.

When does Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026 end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026, according to Polymarket traders?

Alexia Putellas, priced at 99.8% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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