As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 at 44.5% in World Cup 2030: Location of Final — $305.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Other / Unconfirmed by 2028, is priced at 44.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +2.0 pts; past month: +6.0 pts.
Since August 05, 2026, Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 has traded between 34.5% and 54.0%. It opened at 54.0% and last traded at 45.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 42.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 47.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 48.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 47.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 47.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 45.0% |
Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 is favored at 44.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 | 44¢ | 44.5% | -0.5 pts | $193.3K | 63.2% |
| Madrid | 22¢ | 22.5% | -3.0 pts | $42.0K | 13.7% |
| Moroccan city | 18¢ | 18.2% | +0.2 pts | $41.3K | 13.5% |
| Barcelona | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $13.5K | 4.4% |
| Portuguese city | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $15.6K | 5.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 44¢ / ask 45¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$305.8K has been traded on this event in total, $383 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end July 21, 2030, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the city officially announced by FIFA as the host of the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for July 21, 2030. A qualifying announcement means an official confirmation by FIFA of the stadium or city selected to host the final. Bid proposals, venue lists, recommendations by member federations or bid committees, and media speculation about FIFA's decision will not qualify on their own. If FIFA announces a stadium rather than a city, this market will resolve to the city FIFA designates as that stadium's host city in its official 2030 FIFA World Cup materials. A qualifying announcement before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of any subsequent change to the venue or to the scheduled date of the final. If no host city for the final is officially announced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 12,447 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 12,447 | $6.9K |
| Peppery-Capital | Yes | 9,111 | $4.1K |
| Direct-Beggar | Yes | 2,469 | $1.1K |
| Sharp-Wax | No | 1,600 | $888 |
| Kind-Cycle | No | 1,195 | $663 |
| Unlined-Pole | Yes | 1,097 | $488 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere | Yes | 618 | $275 |
| Querulous-Variability | Yes | 500 | $222 |
| 0x3a9dad53… | Yes | 383 | $170 |
| Ringed-Week | No | 357 | $198 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 09:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.0% | $25 |
| Oct 23, 09:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.5% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 09:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 09:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.1% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 12:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 43.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 07:57 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 44.0% | $50 |
| Oct 23, 07:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 57.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 07:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 57.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 07:39 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 25.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 12:19 AM ET | No | SELL | 73.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 at 44.5%. Next is Madrid at 22.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/world-cup-2030-location-of-final-20260805200159829?via=bro
$305.8K in total volume, with $383 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end July 21, 2030, 11:59 PM ET.
Other / Unconfirmed by 2028, priced at 44.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.