As of October 24, 2026, 06:37 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez: Elena Rybakina at 76.5% in Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez — $3.0K traded so far.
Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez: Elena Rybakina is favored at 76.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez: Elena Rybakina | 76¢ | 76.5% | — | $2.9K | 97.3% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under | 76¢ | 75.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over | 72¢ | 72.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 Winner: Elena Rybakina | 69¢ | 69.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 | 62¢ | 62.5% | — | $4 | 0.1% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 23.5: Under | 60¢ | 60.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 22.5: Under | 56¢ | 56.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Game Spread +/-4.5: Leylah Fernandez | 56¢ | 55.5% | — | $3 | 0.1% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 8.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 9.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 10.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 9.5: Under | 52¢ | 51.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 21.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set Handicap +/-1.5: Elena Rybakina | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $73 | 2.5% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 Winner: Elena Rybakina | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 Winner: Leylah Fernandez | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 21.5: Under | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set Handicap +/-1.5: Leylah Fernandez | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $73 | 2.5% |
| Completed Match | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 9.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 8.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 9.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 10.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Game Spread +/-4.5: Elena Rybakina | 44¢ | 44.5% | — | $3 | 0.1% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 22.5: Over | 44¢ | 44.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 23.5: Over | 40¢ | 39.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 | 38¢ | 37.5% | — | $4 | 0.1% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 Winner: Leylah Fernandez | 31¢ | 31.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 8.5: Under | 28¢ | 27.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 10.5: Over | 24¢ | 24.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez: Leylah Fernandez | 24¢ | 23.5% | — | $2.9K | 97.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 76¢ / ask 77¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.0K has been traded on this event in total, $3.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 03:00 AM ET.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Leylah Fernandez in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Leylah Fernandez. This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Elena Rybakina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,420 shares of Elena Rybakina.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Young-Pickle | Elena Rybakina | 1,420 | $1.1K |
| Few-Missile | Leylah Fernandez | 750 | $176 |
| Carefree-Significance | Leylah Fernandez | 669 | $157 |
| Querulous-Enrollment | Leylah Fernandez | 600 | $141 |
| Murky-Fallingout | Leylah Fernandez | 540 | $127 |
| Glaring-Salt | Elena Rybakina | 450 | $344 |
| Inexperienced-Bustle | Elena Rybakina | 395 | $302 |
| Mean-Baseball | Elena Rybakina | 329 | $252 |
| Showy-String | Leylah Fernandez | 150 | $35 |
| Creamy-Guest | Elena Rybakina | 145 | $111 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:08 PM ET | Elena Rybakina | BUY | 77.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 05:51 PM ET | Elena Rybakina | BUY | 51.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 05:45 PM ET | Elena Rybakina | BUY | 77.0% | $35 |
| Oct 24, 05:42 PM ET | Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 24.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:14 PM ET | Elena Rybakina | BUY | 77.0% | $244 |
| Oct 24, 05:13 PM ET | Elena Rybakina | BUY | 77.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 04:59 PM ET | Elena Rybakina | BUY | 77.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:59 PM ET | Elena Rybakina | BUY | 77.0% | $323 |
| Oct 24, 04:49 PM ET | Elena Rybakina | BUY | 77.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:49 PM ET | Elena Rybakina | BUY | 77.0% | $770 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez: Elena Rybakina at 76.5%. Next is Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under at 75.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/wta-rybakin-fernand-2026-10-25?via=bro
$3.0K in total volume, with $3.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 03:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.wtatennis.com/scores.
Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez: Elena Rybakina, priced at 76.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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