As of October 24, 2026, 09:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Down at 51.0% in WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 26? — $15 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Down, is priced at 51.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -6.0 pts.
Since October 23, 2026, Down has traded between 43.0% and 52.0%. It opened at 43.0% and last traded at 52.0%.
Down is favored at 51.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Down | 51¢ | 51.0% | +6.0 pts | $15 | 100.0% |
| Up | 49¢ | 49.0% | -6.0 pts | $15 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 47¢ / ask 51¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$15 has been traded on this event in total, $15 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") for the October 26, 2026 trading day is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures for the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures for the October 26, 2026 trading day is lower than the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures for the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5 shares of Down.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| These-Latency-Perspective | Down | 5 | $3 |
| Unpleasant-Distinction | Up | 4 | $2 |
| Winged-Researcher | Up | 2 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 09:05 AM ET | Up | BUY | 56.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:05 AM ET | Down | BUY | 51.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:59 AM ET | Up | BUY | 56.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:59 AM ET | Down | BUY | 51.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:36 AM ET | Up | BUY | 55.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:36 AM ET | Down | BUY | 52.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:31 AM ET | Up | BUY | 57.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:31 AM ET | Down | BUY | 51.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Down at 51.0%. Next is Up at 49.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/wti-up-or-down-on-october-26-2026?via=bro
$15 in total volume, with $15 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 07:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL.
Down, priced at 51.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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