As of October 24, 2026, 09:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 97.0% in Will ExxonMobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings? — $810 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 97.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +10.9 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 71.0% and 97.0%. It opened at 71.0% and last traded at 97.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 86.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.0% |
Yes is favored at 97.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 97¢ | 97.0% | — | $810 | 100.0% |
| No | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $810 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 94¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$810 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 09:00 AM ET.
As of market creation, ExxonMobil is estimated to release earnings on October 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for ExxonMobil’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.87 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if ExxonMobil reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $3.87 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If ExxonMobil releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/XOM/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 174 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Witty-Birch | Yes | 174 | $168 |
| Frosty-Funding | Yes | 138 | $133 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 122 | $4 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 70 | $2 |
| Deadly-Antechamber | No | 40 | $1 |
| Insidious-Meteor | No | 21 | $1 |
| Prestigious-Fairness | No | 20 | $1 |
| LIBAI | Yes | 20 | $19 |
| Sunny-Smoking | No | 20 | $1 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 12 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 06:49 PM ET | No | SELL | 5.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 04:44 AM ET | No | SELL | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 04:43 AM ET | No | SELL | 8.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 01:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 9.0% | $2 |
| Oct 18, 05:35 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 87.7% | $152 |
| Oct 18, 12:06 AM ET | No | SELL | 14.0% | $6 |
| Oct 18, 12:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 87.0% | $35 |
| Oct 17, 07:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 16.0% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 07:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 81.7% | $123 |
| Oct 17, 04:33 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.8% | $112 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 97.0%. Next is No at 3.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/xom-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-23-2026-3pt87?via=bro
$810 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 09:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/XOM/earnings.
Yes, priced at 97.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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