As of October 24, 2026, 08:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 72.5% in Will ExxonMobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings? — $2.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 72.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.5 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, Yes has traded between 67.5% and 73.0%. It opened at 72.0% and last traded at 73.0%.
Yes is favored at 72.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 72¢ | 72.5% | +3.5 pts | $2.9K | 100.0% |
| No | 28¢ | 27.5% | -3.5 pts | $2.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 70¢ / ask 75¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.9K has been traded on this event in total, $375 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 09:00 AM ET.
As of market creation, ExxonMobil is estimated to release earnings on October 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for ExxonMobil’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.11 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if ExxonMobil reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $4.11 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If ExxonMobil releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/XOM/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 82 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Known-Use | Yes | 82 | $60 |
| Altruistic-Elver-Ikebana | No | 80 | $22 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 70 | $19 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 60 | $16 |
| Agreeable-Appreciation | No | 56 | $15 |
| Impassioned-Chastity | Yes | 51 | $37 |
| Nocturnal-Counterforce | No | 47 | $13 |
| Sturdy-Professor | Yes | 44 | $32 |
| 0x049ca21b… | Yes | 38 | $28 |
| Amazing-Antelope-Shakedown | Yes | 37 | $27 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 29.9% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 08:08 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 72.9% | $188 |
| Oct 24, 08:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 28.0% | $14 |
| Oct 23, 11:35 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 70.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 10:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 71.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 11:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.0% | $30 |
| Oct 23, 03:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 09:14 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 68.0% | $152 |
| Oct 22, 03:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $15 |
| Oct 22, 01:23 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 72.5%. Next is No at 27.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/xom-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-30-2026-4pt11?via=bro
$2.9K in total volume, with $375 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 09:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/XOM/earnings.
Yes, priced at 72.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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