As of October 24, 2026, 06:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 63.5% in Will ExxonMobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings? — $1.8K traded so far.
Yes is favored at 63.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64¢ | 63.5% | — | $1.8K | 100.0% |
| No | 36¢ | 36.5% | — | $1.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 63¢ / ask 64¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.8K has been traded on this event in total, $1.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 09:00 AM ET.
As of market creation, ExxonMobil is estimated to release earnings on October 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for ExxonMobil’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.12 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if ExxonMobil reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $4.12 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If ExxonMobil releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/XOM/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 200 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hideous-Racer | Yes | 200 | $127 |
| Chief-Plot | Yes | 175 | $111 |
| Known-Use | No | 136 | $50 |
| Weird-Ephemeris-Exception | No | 115 | $42 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 60 | $22 |
| Babyish-Starboard | No | 20 | $7 |
| Apt-Antecedent | No | 20 | $7 |
| Amazing-Antelope-Shakedown | No | 17 | $6 |
| Nutty-Hyacinth | No | 7 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:35 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 61.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 02:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 19.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 23.9% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 02:30 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 77.3% | $251 |
| Oct 24, 01:15 PM ET | No | SELL | 22.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 12:05 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 77.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 12:05 PM ET | No | SELL | 21.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 10:54 AM ET | No | SELL | 25.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 10:03 AM ET | No | SELL | 27.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 63.5%. Next is No at 36.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/xom-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-30-2026-4pt12?via=bro
$1.8K in total volume, with $1.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 09:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/XOM/earnings.
Yes, priced at 63.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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