Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 30 at 7.0% in Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...? — $29.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $50.
Leading outcome
November 30
7%
A 7.0% price implies roughly a 7-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.5 pts7D +2.0 pts
November 307.0%
October 311.8%
Bid
6¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 06, 2026: 4.5% – 16.5% · Opened at 16.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...?
Category
Yemen, Houthis, Military, Politics, Geopolitics, Middle East
Scheduled end
November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$29.0K
Volume (24h)
$50
Liquidity
$27.8K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
November 30 — 7.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, November 30, is priced at 7.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: +2.0 pts.

Since October 06, 2026, November 30 has traded between 4.5% and 16.5%. It opened at 16.5% and last traded at 6.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 20265.0%
Oct 16, 20265.0%
Oct 18, 20265.5%
Oct 19, 20266.0%
Oct 20, 20264.5%
Oct 23, 20265.5%
Oct 24, 20266.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

November 30 is favored at 7.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
November 307¢7.0%+1.5 pts$13.6K47.0%
October 312¢1.8%+0.1 pts$15.4K53.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 6¢ / ask 8¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$29.0K has been traded on this event in total, $50 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yemeni forces enter any part of Sanaa, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Yemeni forces" refers to the armed forces of the internationally recognized Government of Yemen under the Presidential Leadership Council, and any armed group operating under or on behalf of it. This includes the Yemeni Armed Forces, the Giants Brigades, the Nation's Shield Forces (also rendered Homeland Shield Forces), the National Resistance Forces, and any other force confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be operating under or on behalf of the internationally recognized Government of Yemen. The armed forces of any other state, including Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, will not qualify on their own; the participation of foreign state forces alongside qualifying Yemeni forces will not disqualify an entry that otherwise meets the terms of this market. "Sanaa" refers to the city of Sanaa, Yemen, coextensive with the municipality of Amanat Al Asimah, as defined by its official administrative boundaries. Sanaa Governorate is a separate administrative entity, and entry into any part of Sanaa Governorate will not qualify. "Enter" means that the Yemeni forces, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Sanaa, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 440 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Glum-KittyNo440$409
bakayo33 - 9934No417$387
Admirable-ChildNo400$372
Belated-GlueYes380$27
Oddball-PoisonYes192$13
Required-HornYes123$9
Hideous-RacerNo104$96
Knotty-ExceptionYes100$7
Flamboyant-WarmingYes88$6
Best-DotYes87$6

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $117 at 97.9%BUY No — $110 at 98.0%BUY No — $59 at 97.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 12:15 PM ETYesBUY6.0%$3
Oct 23, 12:15 PM ETYesBUY5.0%$0
Oct 22, 04:14 PM ETNoBUY98.6%$10
Oct 21, 03:40 AM ETYesSELL4.0%$2
Oct 19, 02:29 PM ETNoSELL94.0%$18
Oct 17, 01:35 PM ETYesSELL4.0%$3
Oct 17, 06:39 AM ETYesSELL1.3%$11
Oct 17, 02:44 AM ETYesSELL1.7%$0
Oct 17, 02:42 AM ETYesBUY6.0%$3
Oct 16, 07:47 PM ETNoSELL97.8%$8

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 30 at 7.0%. Next is October 31 at 1.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/yemeni-forces-enter-sanaa-byptptpt?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...??

$29.0K in total volume, with $50 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

November 30, priced at 7.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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