As of October 24, 2026, 06:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Lin Kuo-chang at 61.0% in Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner — $12.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Lin Kuo-chang, is priced at 61.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +4.0 pts; past month: -5.0 pts.
Since August 14, 2026, Lin Kuo-chang has traded between 51.0% and 74.5%. It opened at 54.5% and last traded at 60.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 59.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 60.5% |
Lin Kuo-chang is favored at 61.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lin Kuo-chang | 61¢ | 61.0% | +0.5 pts | $5.4K | 43.4% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Wu Tsung-hsien | 35¢ | 35.0% | +1.0 pts | $5.4K | 43.1% |
| Chen Wan-hui | 2¢ | 2.4% | -2.7 pts | $1.0K | 8.3% |
| Chang Sheng-te | 1¢ | 1.0% | — | $663 | 5.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 12¢ (bid 55¢ / ask 67¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$12.5K has been traded on this event in total, $815 of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolution source: https://db.cec.gov.tw/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 848 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 848 | $331 |
| Partial-Constellation | Yes | 705 | $430 |
| Royal-Producer-Jury | Yes | 336 | $205 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 250 | $98 |
| Tall-Finer | Yes | 243 | $148 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 144 | $56 |
| Earnest-Annual | Yes | 135 | $82 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 117 | $46 |
| Old-Fashioned-Clove | Yes | 100 | $61 |
| Required-Footrest | Yes | 100 | $61 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 33.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 68.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.6% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 02:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 66.0% | $465 |
| Oct 24, 05:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 33.0% | $21 |
| Oct 23, 07:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 31.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 07:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 07:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 68.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 09:48 PM ET | No | SELL | 35.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 02:22 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.3% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Lin Kuo-chang at 61.0%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/yilan-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716200?via=bro
$12.5K in total volume, with $815 traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://db.cec.gov.tw/.
Lin Kuo-chang, priced at 61.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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