Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Yobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Baba Wali at 86.5% in Yobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — $6.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Baba Wali
86%
A 86.5% price implies roughly a 86-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
Baba Wali86.5%
Candidate A50.0%
Bid
86¢
Ask
87¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since August 21, 2026: 44.0% – 87.5% · Opened at 44.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Yobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Category
africa, Nigeria, Politics, Elections, Main Election, Global Elections, Nigerian Election, Nigerian Governor Election
Scheduled end
February 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$6.9K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$58.4K
Markets
31
Leading outcome
Baba Wali — 86.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Baba Wali, is priced at 86.5%.

Since August 21, 2026, Baba Wali has traded between 44.0% and 87.5%. It opened at 44.0% and last traded at 86.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202686.5%
Oct 16, 202686.5%
Oct 18, 202686.5%
Oct 19, 202686.5%
Oct 20, 202686.5%
Oct 23, 202686.5%
Oct 24, 202686.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Baba Wali is favored at 86.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Baba Wali86¢86.5%—$6.1K87.5%
Candidate A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Kassim Gana Geidam11¢11.3%+0.2 pts$1362.0%
Abdullahi Sharif3¢2.9%-0.1 pts$4776.9%
Abdullahi Usman Maigida0¢0.1%—$2523.6%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 86¢ / ask 87¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$6.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end February 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,401 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Wan-GymnasticsYes1,401$1.2K
Melodic-CriaNo830$112
0xa5ef39c3…No222$30
Skeletal-LiverNo121$16
Fuzzy-DraftNo72$10
Belated-GlueNo53$7
Pleasing-ElmNo38$5
Sizzling-PatienceNo28$4
runes-leoNo20$3
Stale-CashewNo15$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL Yes — $172 at 86.0%BUY No — $69 at 99.6%BUY No — $59 at 85.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 02:18 AM ETNoSELL13.0%$4
Oct 21, 03:19 AM ETYesSELL86.0%$9
Oct 16, 12:16 AM ETNoSELL13.0%$4
Oct 11, 12:16 AM ETNoSELL99.3%$1
Oct 02, 11:14 AM ETNoSELL13.0%$3
Sep 18, 11:31 AM ETYesSELL0.4%$0
Sep 17, 09:37 AM ETYesSELL86.0%$52
Sep 10, 11:44 AM ETYesSELL86.0%$172
Sep 10, 11:26 AM ETYesSELL86.0%$1
Sep 10, 11:26 AM ETNoSELL13.0%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Yobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Baba Wali at 86.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/yobe-nigeria-governor-election-winner?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Yobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner?

$6.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.

When does Yobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end February 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Yobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Baba Wali, priced at 86.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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