As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 94.9% in Yoon out of custody before 2027? — $235.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 94.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.2 pts; past week: -0.5 pts; past month: -0.7 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, No has traded between 48.5% and 96.5%. It opened at 48.5% and last traded at 94.7%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 94.3% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 94.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.3% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 94.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 94.7% |
No is favored at 94.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95¢ | 94.9% | +0.2 pts | $235.7K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 5¢ | 5.1% | -0.2 pts | $235.7K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 5¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$235.7K has been traded on this event in total, $201 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 24,082 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brief-Fly | Yes | 24,082 | $1.2K |
| Remote-Roast-Crane | Yes | 23,260 | $1.2K |
| Flat-Badger | No | 14,859 | $14.1K |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist | No | 10,795 | $10.2K |
| Fearful-Independence | No | 6,989 | $6.6K |
| 0xef97d61b… | No | 5,100 | $4.8K |
| Astonishing-Company | No | 3,500 | $3.3K |
| Hefty-Connection | Yes | 3,182 | $162 |
| Dull-Universe | No | 2,608 | $2.5K |
| Pink-Pest | No | 2,168 | $2.1K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:56 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.6% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:56 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.6% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 03:56 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.6% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 03:56 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.8% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 03:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $95 |
| Oct 23, 02:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.2% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 02:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.8% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 08:10 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.1% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 12:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.3% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 08:46 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.1% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 94.9%. Next is Yes at 5.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/yoon-out-of-custody-before-2027?via=bro
$235.7K in total volume, with $201 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 94.9% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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