As of October 24, 2026, 08:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Verónica Díaz Robles at 52.5% in Zacatecas Governor Election Winner — $45.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Verónica Díaz Robles, is priced at 52.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.0 pts; past week: -1.0 pts; past month: -28.0 pts.
Since August 05, 2026, Verónica Díaz Robles has traded between 5.0% and 80.5%. It opened at 23.0% and last traded at 56.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 55.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 56.5% |
Verónica Díaz Robles is favored at 52.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verónica Díaz Robles | 52¢ | 52.5% | -4.0 pts | $9.2K | 20.2% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ulises Mejía Haro | 30¢ | 30.5% | +9.5 pts | $21.7K | 47.7% |
| Geovanna Bañuelos de la Torre | 12¢ | 11.6% | +0.8 pts | $767 | 1.7% |
| Noemí Berenice Luna Ayala | 11¢ | 11.3% | -1.4 pts | $716 | 1.6% |
| Julia Arcelia Olguín Serna | 3¢ | 3.0% | -0.2 pts | $3.0K | 6.6% |
| Alfonso Ramírez Cuéllar | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $810 | 1.8% |
| Arturo Nahle García | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $815 | 1.8% |
| Rodrigo Reyes Mugüerza | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $812 | 1.8% |
| Zaira Ivonne Villagrana Escareño | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $930 | 2.0% |
| Jorge Álvarez Máynez | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $680 | 1.5% |
| José Narro Céspedes | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $2.5K | 5.4% |
| Carlos Peña Badillo | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $665 | 1.5% |
| Carlos Alberto Puente Salas | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $726 | 1.6% |
| Bennelly Jocabeth Hernández Ruedas | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $777 | 1.7% |
| Miguel Ángel Varela Pinedo | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $794 | 1.7% |
| Fuensanta Guadalupe Guerrero Esquivel | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $678 | 1.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 11¢ (bid 47¢ / ask 58¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$45.6K has been traded on this event in total, $9 of it in the last 24 hours, across 43 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zacatecas on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zacatecas gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Zacatecas and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Zacatecas and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 784 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 784 | $372 |
| Cultivated-Diesel | Yes | 298 | $156 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 112 | $59 |
| Deep-Put-Championship | Yes | 100 | $52 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 98 | $51 |
| Velvety-Burn | Yes | 73 | $38 |
| Dull-Universe | Yes | 50 | $26 |
| Wry-Friction-Banquette | No | 40 | $19 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 29 | $15 |
| Jumbo-Coin | Yes | 24 | $13 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:02 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 06:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 06:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 05:39 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 12:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 40.0% | $20 |
| Oct 22, 12:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 47.0% | $24 |
| Oct 22, 12:12 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $11 |
| Oct 22, 12:12 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $8 |
| Oct 21, 09:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $8 |
| Oct 20, 11:22 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 17.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Verónica Díaz Robles at 52.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/zacatecas-governor-election-winner-20260803170329?via=bro
$45.6K in total volume, with $9 traded in the last 24 hours across 43 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Verónica Díaz Robles, priced at 52.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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