Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price March 31 at 26.5% in Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by...? — $14.7K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.4K.
Leading outcome
March 31
26%
A 26.5% price implies roughly a 26-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +2.5 pts7D +1.5 pts
March 3126.5%
December 3110.5%
Bid
25¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
3¢
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Range since October 07, 2026: 24.0% – 43.5% · Opened at 43.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by...?
Category
UK, resign, Politics
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET
Total volume
$14.7K
Volume (24h)
$1.4K
Liquidity
$43.9K
Markets
3
Leading outcome
March 31 — 26.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, March 31, is priced at 26.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.5 pts; past week: +1.5 pts.

Since October 07, 2026, March 31 has traded between 24.0% and 43.5%. It opened at 43.5% and last traded at 26.5%.

DayClose
Oct 13, 202633.5%
Oct 15, 202629.5%
Oct 16, 202626.0%
Oct 18, 202632.0%
Oct 19, 202631.5%
Oct 20, 202624.0%
Oct 24, 202626.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

March 31 is favored at 26.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
March 3126¢26.5%+2.5 pts$4.4K29.8%
December 3110¢10.5%-2.0 pts$5.0K34.1%
October 314¢3.7%+0.1 pts$5.3K36.1%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 25¢ / ask 28¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$14.7K has been traded on this event in total, $1.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zack Polanski ceases to be Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Zack Polanski's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Zack Polanski and the Green Party of England and Wales; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 300 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
bakayo33 - 9934No300$220
0x91c363ac…Yes220$58
Infatuated-NunYes120$32
Remarkable-UnderpassNo54$40
Humiliating-AbilityYes47$12
Known-UseNo40$30
Bossy-Birdcage-PeriodNo40$29
Golden-PanpipeYes27$7
Electric-CondominiumYes20$5
Plastic-DuckNo20$15

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $432 at 96.0%BUY No — $118 at 92.0%BUY Yes — $100 at 22.7%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 11:17 AM ETYesSELL25.0%$5
Oct 24, 10:53 AM ETNoBUY72.0%$14
Oct 24, 10:46 AM ETNoSELL64.0%$0
Oct 24, 10:46 AM ETNoSELL65.0%$11
Oct 24, 10:46 AM ETYesBUY36.0%$6
Oct 24, 10:32 AM ETYesSELL29.5%$65
Oct 24, 10:08 AM ETNoBUY96.7%$5
Oct 24, 09:58 AM ETNoSELL71.0%$4
Oct 24, 09:02 AM ETNoBUY50.0%$10
Oct 24, 08:58 AM ETNoSELL68.0%$14

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is March 31 at 26.5%. Next is December 31 at 10.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/zack-polanski-out-as-green-party-leader?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by...??

$14.7K in total volume, with $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.

When does Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

March 31, priced at 26.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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