As of October 24, 2026, 08:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Dauda Lawal at 79.5% in Zamfara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — $5.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Dauda Lawal, is priced at 79.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: -3.5 pts; past month: -6.5 pts.
Since August 21, 2026, Dauda Lawal has traded between 43.0% and 88.5%. It opened at 43.0% and last traded at 79.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 79.5% |
Dauda Lawal is favored at 79.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauda Lawal | 80¢ | 79.5% | -2.0 pts | $4.8K | 88.7% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus | 13¢ | 13.0% | -1.9 pts | $310 | 5.8% |
| Mahadi Aliyu Gusau | 4¢ | 4.3% | -0.5 pts | $125 | 2.3% |
| Ahmed Yahuza | 4¢ | 4.0% | -0.5 pts | $175 | 3.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 78¢ / ask 81¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.
This market is scheduled to end February 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 451 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dull-Universe | Yes | 451 | $359 |
| Chief-Plot | No | 446 | $91 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 200 | $159 |
| Near-Familiar | No | 200 | $41 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 104 | $21 |
| Specific-Crow | Yes | 100 | $80 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 86 | $18 |
| Arctic-Kickoff | Yes | 58 | $46 |
| Golden-Panpipe | Yes | 40 | $32 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 24 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 04:39 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.8% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 04:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 78.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 04:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 20.6% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 04:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 04:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.1% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 04:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.1% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 04:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.7% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 04:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.7% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | No | SELL | 18.0% | $2 |
| Oct 12, 11:30 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 83.0% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Dauda Lawal at 79.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/zamfara-nigeria-governor-election-winner?via=bro
$5.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.
The market is scheduled to end February 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Dauda Lawal, priced at 79.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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