Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 93.5% in Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? — $3.66M traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $5.3K.
Leading outcome
No
94%
A 93.5% price implies roughly a 94-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +1.0 pts30D +1.0 pts
No93.5%
Yes6.5%
Bid
6¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since July 24, 2025: 43.5% – 95.5% · Opened at 49.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Category
Ukraine, Geopolitics, World, Politics, Earn 3.25%
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$3.66M
Volume (24h)
$5.3K
Liquidity
$102.7K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 93.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 93.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.0 pts; past month: +1.0 pts.

Since July 24, 2025, No has traded between 43.5% and 95.5%. It opened at 49.0% and last traded at 93.5%.

DayClose
Oct 13, 202693.5%
Oct 15, 202693.5%
Oct 16, 202693.5%
Oct 18, 202693.5%
Oct 19, 202693.5%
Oct 20, 202693.5%
Oct 24, 202693.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 93.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No94¢93.5%—$3.66M100.0%
Yes6¢6.5%—$3.66M100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 6¢ / ask 7¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$3.66M has been traded on this event in total, $5.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 183,112 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Flustered-ImprovementNo183,112$171.2K
Dramatic-SheepYes97,334$6.3K
Fragrant-Minimum-PotentialYes88,857$5.8K
Forsaken-ConiferYes58,541$3.8K
Cuddly-LemonadeYes56,628$3.7K
Attached-Example-AnesthesiologistNo52,037$48.7K
Moral-LabNo46,272$43.3K
Foolish-WebpageYes45,488$3.0K
United-FieldNo36,592$34.2K
Thirsty-FormulaYes34,319$2.2K

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $398 at 94.0%BUY Yes — $300 at 7.0%SELL No — $186 at 93.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:25 PM ETYesBUY7.0%$300
Oct 24, 04:06 PM ETNoBUY94.0%$1
Oct 24, 03:38 PM ETYesBUY7.0%$3
Oct 24, 02:34 PM ETNoSELL93.0%$1
Oct 24, 02:34 PM ETYesSELL6.0%$0
Oct 24, 02:30 PM ETNoSELL93.0%$12
Oct 24, 12:42 PM ETNoSELL93.0%$5
Oct 24, 12:36 PM ETNoSELL93.0%$6
Oct 24, 12:36 PM ETNoBUY94.0%$398
Oct 24, 12:35 PM ETNoSELL93.0%$5

Related markets

More Politics

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro 83.8% · 24H VOL $2.01M

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 71.5% · 24H VOL $649.0K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 93.5%. Next is Yes at 6.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-before-2027?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026??

$3.66M in total volume, with $5.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 93.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.