As of October 24, 2026, 08:03 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.5% in Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? — $34.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.6 pts; past month: +2.2 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, No has traded between 87.0% and 99.7%. It opened at 89.0% and last traded at 97.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 99.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.5% |
No is favored at 97.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 97.5% | — | $34.8K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 2.5% | — | $34.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$34.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,519 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8931aa50… | No | 2,519 | $2.5K |
| Quizzical-Hire | Yes | 2,052 | $52 |
| Homely-Amenity | No | 1,419 | $1.4K |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 860 | $22 |
| Grand-Casket | No | 634 | $618 |
| Squiggly-Princess | Yes | 341 | $9 |
| Snarling-Veil | No | 198 | $193 |
| Antique-Pinstripe | Yes | 195 | $5 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 173 | $4 |
| 0x9ad8ce2f… | Yes | 171 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 09:18 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.2% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 09:18 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.1% | $0 |
| Oct 17, 05:34 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 14, 12:42 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
| Oct 13, 05:20 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.0% | $6 |
| Oct 10, 10:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.5% | $0 |
| Oct 02, 07:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.3% | $1 |
| Oct 02, 07:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.5% | $4 |
| Oct 01, 05:20 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.9% | $1 |
| Oct 01, 05:18 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.1% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.5%. Next is Yes at 2.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/zohran-mamdani-citizenship-revoked-before-2027?via=bro
$34.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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