As of October 24, 2026, 07:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.9% in Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? — $84.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: -0.4 pts; past month: -1.7 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, No has traded between 85.5% and 98.0%. It opened at 85.5% and last traded at 98.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.3% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.0% |
No is favored at 97.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 97.9% | -0.1 pts | $84.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 2.1% | +0.1 pts | $84.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$84.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.” An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,844 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Punctual-Sand | No | 4,844 | $4.7K |
| Fragrant-Reverse | No | 2,717 | $2.7K |
| Haunting-Theme | Yes | 2,222 | $47 |
| Wide-Washer | Yes | 1,357 | $28 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk | No | 1,145 | $1.1K |
| Arctic-Kickoff | No | 916 | $896 |
| Lively-Skean | Yes | 909 | $19 |
| 0x6b0ebbef… | Yes | 843 | $18 |
| 0xf63a5281… | Yes | 709 | $15 |
| Arid-Province | Yes | 577 | $12 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 03:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.9% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 03:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.9% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 05:41 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.2% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 04:53 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 04:27 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.6% | $213 |
| Oct 15, 01:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.2% | $2 |
| Oct 14, 08:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.0% | $43 |
| Oct 14, 02:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.2% | $19 |
| Oct 14, 02:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.5% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 06:23 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.6% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.9%. Next is Yes at 2.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/zohran-mamdani-out-as-mayor-of-nyc-before-2027?via=bro
$84.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.9% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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